45P-ids 2001-2020: preliminary activity prediction

predicted activity cases
yeardate, timeZHRexcomments
-UTmeteors-
200117.08.2001 21:571-2high meteor brightness
201014.08.2010 3:3020-30high meteor brightness
201411.02.2014 ~81high meteor brightness
201514.08.2015 12:2310-20high meteor brightness
201622-23.02.2016 20-21-2high meteor brightness

2001
17.08.2001 21:57 UT. Vertical encounter with 1922 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 1-2 meteors is expected, high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=325.6°, Dec=-11.8°, v=23.5 km/s.

2010
14.08.2010 3:30 UT. Vertical encounter with 1964 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 20-30 meteors is expected, high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=325.7°, Dec=-10.8°, v=25.6 km/s.

2014
11.02.2014 ~8 UT. Vertical encounter with 1884 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 1 meteors is expected, high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=328.4°, Dec=-14.6°, v=22.5 km/s.

2015
14.08.2015 12:23 UT. Vertical encounter with 1968 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 10-20 meteors is expected, high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=325.8°, Dec=-10.8°, v=25.6 km/s.

2016
22-23.02.2016 20-2 UT. Vertical encounter with 1938 and 1943 trails. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 1-2 meteors is expected, high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=333.6°, Dec=-14.0°, v=25.5 km/s.