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73p-ids 1901-2100: activity predictions
1914 07.06.1914 14:49 UT. Direct encounter with 1903 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax up to 50-70 is expected, very low brightness, in radiorange more prominent activity is possible. Theoretical radiant: RA=225.0°, Dec=+45.0°, v=13.8 km/s. 1925 07.06.1925 22:18 UT. Direct encounter with 1914 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax up to 1-2 is expected, very low brightness, in radiorange more prominent activity is possible. Theoretical radiant: RA=217.5°, Dec=+44.5°, v=13.9 km/s. 1930 08.06.1930 6:30 UT. Vertical encounter with 1892 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax up to 500-1000 is expected, low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=219.3°, Dec=+44.5°, v=13.8 km/s. 1936 07.06.1936 20:24 UT. Vertical encounter with 1919 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax around 1 meteor is expected, very low brightness, in radiorange more prominent activity is possible. Theoretical radiant: RA=222.9°, Dec=+43.4°, v=13.9 km/s. 1941 07.06.1941 17:37 UT. Direct encounter with 1897 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 50 is expected, low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=217.4°, Dec=+44.2°, v=13.8 km/s. 1952 07.06.1952 6-10UT. Vertical encounter with 1897 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax around 1-2 meteor is expected, very low brightness, in radiorange more prominent activity is possible. Theoretical radiant: RA=219.1°, Dec=+43.4°, v=13.7 km/s. 1972 19.04.1972 15:41 UT. Vertical encounter with 1886 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 3-5 is expected, low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=189.9°, Dec=-1.5°, v=16.3 km/s. 12.08.1972 21:28 UT. Vertical encounter with 1886 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 8-10 is expected, low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=162.2°, Dec=+5.2°, v=16.2 km/s. 1974 30.05.1974 9:13 UT. Vertical encounter with 1925 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 20-30 is expected, high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=205.0°, Dec=+23.5°, v=11.5 km/s. 1985 03.05.1930 9:40 UT. Vertical encounter with 1897, 1903, 1908, 1914 trails. During May 3 meteor activity with ZHRmax of 5-10 around the given time is expected, high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=198.4°, Dec=+0.8°, v=14.9 km/s. 1998 29.04.1998 3:30 UT. Vertical encounter with 1886 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 1 is expected, low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=192.5°, Dec=-0.7°, v=14.9 km/s. 2001 08.05.2001 1:04 UT. Vertical encounter with 1930 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 10-20 is expected, high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=201.1°, Dec=+4.1°, v=14.1 km/s. 2006 03.05.2006 0:33 UT. Vertical encounter with 1897 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 3-5 is expected, high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=198.0°, Dec=+0.2°, v=15.0 km/s. 2017 30.05.2017 17:34 UT. Vertical encounter with 1941 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 3-5 is expected, high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=211.2°, Dec=+29.7°, v=12.4 km/s. 2022 31.05.2022 3:11 UT. Vertical encounter with 1892-1941 trails. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax up to 50 is expected, low brightness. Also some activity up to 20 meteors on ZHR scale are likely, especially around 15:10 UT. Theoretical radiant: RA=206.7°, Dec=+26.0°, v=11.7 km/s. 31.05.2022 5:15 UT. Vertical encounter with 1979-1995 trails. For the given period of time the basic model gives meteor activity with ZHRmax of 600-700 is expected. However, considering that in 1995 the comet 73P broke into several parts, the real activity should be one-two orders higher, up to 10000-100000 meteors on ZHR scale with high average brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=209.5°, Dec=+28.0°, v=12.1 km/s. 26.06.2022 2:58 UT. Vertical encounter with 1930 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 2-3 is expected, very low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=170.0°, Dec=-10.2°, v=9.3 km/s. 2033 06.05.2033 10-15 UT. Vertical encounter with 1903-1919 trails. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 50 is expected (but some possibility for outburst up to 200-300 meteors on ZHR scale is present), high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=197.7°, Dec=+5.8°, v=13.7 km/s. 2039 07.08.2039 8:44 UT. Vertical encounter with 1903-1914 trails. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 20-30 is expected, low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=159.8°, Dec=-2.8°, v=14.5 km/s. 19-20.08.2039 UT. Vertical encounter with 1903 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 10-15 is expected, very low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=167.8°, Dec=9.8°, v=16.6 km/s. 2049 29.04.2049 4-16 UT. Vertical encounter with 1968-1990 trails. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 50-60 is expected, low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=195.5°, Dec=2.7°, v=15.0 km/s. 02.05.2049 12:27 UT. Vertical encounter with 1892 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 5-7 is expected, high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=196.7°, Dec=3.7°, v=14.5 km/s. 02.05.2049 19:40 UT. Vertical encounter with 1930 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 15-20 is expected, very high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=197.1°, Dec=3.9°, v=14.5 km/s. 2060 08.05.2060 15:18 UT. Vertical encounter with 1892 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 2-4 is expected, low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=195.5°, Dec=8.9°, v=13.5 km/s. 13.08.2060 13:14 UT. Vertical encounter with 1930 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 5-10 is expected, high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=163.2°, Dec=-2.6°, v=15.2 km/s. 2062 15.07.2062 10-17 UT. Vertical encounter with 1935 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity on the level of separate meteors is expected, high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=152.4°, Dec=-24.9°, v=11.6 km/s. 2065 07.05.2065 10:21 UT. Vertical encounter with 1941 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity on the level of separate meteors is expected, average brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=198.9°, Dec=7.8°, v=13.8 km/s. 2067 30.07.2067 12:09 UT. Vertical encounter with 1935 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 1-2 is expected, high brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=158.0°, Dec=-7.3°, v=13.0 km/s. 2069 15-16.04.2069 21-3 UT. Vertical encounter with 1935 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 10-15 is expected, very low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=191.2°, Dec=-5.9°, v=18.7 km/s. 2070 21.04.2070 17:30 UT. Vertical encounter with 1941 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 3-5 is expected, very low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=189.1°, Dec=-8.0°, v=16.7 km/s. 01.05.2070 22:40 UT. Vertical encounter with 1990 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 3-5 is expected, low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=196.2°, Dec=3.2°, v=14.6 km/s. 2079 13.04.2079 6:47 UT. Vertical encounter with 1935 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 5-7 is expected, very low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=190.2°, Dec=-5.4°, v=19.5 km/s. 2084 13.04.2084 1:42 UT. Vertical encounter with 1935 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 15-20 is expected, very low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=174.0°, Dec=3.7°, v=19.5 km/s. 2087 17.07.2087 1:56 UT. Vertical encounter with 1952 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 1-2 is expected, very low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=154.4°, Dec=-7.2°, v=11.7 km/s. 2098 19.07.2098 20:08 UT. Vertical encounter with 2006 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 2-3 is expected, low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=154.4°, Dec=-8.0°, v=12.2 km/s. 21.07.2098 4:54 UT. Vertical encounter with 2001 trail. During the given period of time meteor activity with ZHRmax of 1-2 is expected, very low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=154.1°, Dec=-9.1°, v=12.1 km/s. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||