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June Bootids 1901-2100: activity predictions
1902 28.03.1902. The Earth encounters 1836-1858 trails, intersecting the Earth's orbit in the end of March - beginning of April. During this day a number of activity enhancements with ZHR up to 10-20 meteors is likely, brightness will be high. Theoretical radiants: 1836 trail: RA=189.3°, Dec=-3.1°, v=25.3 km/s; 1841 trail: RA=190.2°, Dec=-3.4°, v=24.9 km/s; 1847 trail: RA=190.3°, Dec=-3.4°, v=24.9 km/s; 1852 trail: RA=190.3°, Dec=-3.5°, v=25.2 km/s; 1858 trail: RA=190.0°, Dec=-3.7°, v=26.1 km/s. 1906 30.06.1906 17:29 UT. The Earth encounters 1733 trail, intersecting the Earth's orbit on 13 June. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHR about 1 meteor with very low average brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=210.4°, Dec=+31.2°, v=11.3 km/s. 09.07.1906 4:13 UT. The Earth encounters 1720 trail, intersecting the Earth's orbit on 1 July. Around the given time we expect activity at the level of separate meteors with high average brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=196.9°, Dec=+15.3°, v=9.8 km/s. 12.07.1906 15:37 UT. The Earth again encounters 1720 trail, intersecting the Earth's orbit on 24 July. Around the given time we expect activity at the level of separate meteors with high average brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=192.2°, Dec=+11.2°, v=9.8 km/s. 31.07.1906 5:35 UT. The Earth encounters 1727 trail, intersecting the Earth's orbit on 17 July. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHR=3 meteors with high average brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=179.4°, Dec=+6.9°, v=11.5 km/s. 1909 01.07.1909 22 UT - 03.07.1906 4 UT. The Earth encounters a channel of 1819-1898 trail, intersecting the Earth's orbit on 25 July - 10 August. In the given time interval lots of activity enhanements with ZHR up to 5 meteors are likely. Brightness will be high. Theoretical radiant: RA=204.3°, Dec=+52.6°, v=13.8 km/s. 1910 29.06.1910 10-19 UT. The Earth encounters a channel of 1808-1825 trail, intersecting the Earth's orbit in June-July. In the given time interval activity on the level of separate meteors is possible. Brightness will be very low. Theoretical radiant: 1813 trail: RA=219.3°, Dec=+51.5°, v=14.5 km/s; 1819 trail: RA=219.7°, Dec=+52.1°, v=14.6 km/s. 1911 04.07.1911 13:37 UT. The Earth encounters 1869 trail, intersecting the Earth's orbit on 20 June. Around the given time activity on the level of separate meteors is possible. Brightness will be very low, in radiorange much stronger activity levels are likely. Theoretical radiant: RA=211.9°, Dec=+43.6°, v=12.8 km/s. 1913 10.07.1913 13:21 UT. The Earth encounters 1790 trail, intersecting the Earth's orbit on 30 July. Around the given time activity on the level of separate meteors is possible. Brightness will be high. Theoretical radiant: RA=191.6°, Dec=+6.7°, v=9.5 km/s. 1915 02.07.1915 11:21 UT. The Earth encounters a channel of 1808-1898 trails, intersecting the Earth's orbit in July - August. According to "vertical trails" approach, we expect an outburst with ZHRmax up to 100-150 meteors with high average brightness. Also, during 2-4 of June some weak activity appearances with ZHR not higher than 5-7 meteors are possible. Brightness will be high. Theoretical radiant: RA=205.4°, Dec=+53.1°, v=13.9 km/s. 1916 28.06.1916 22:23 UT. A direct encounter with 1819 trail, but this case is better described with "vertical trails" approach. Around th given time we expect an outburst with ZHR up to 40 meteors. Brightness will be quite low. Theoretical radiant: RA=219.6°, Dec=+52.3°, v=14.7 km/s. 1917 04.07.1917 4:35 UT. A direct encounter with 1847 trail, but this case is better described with "vertical trails" approach. Around th given time we expect an outburst with ZHR about 20 meteors. Brightness will be very low. Theoretical radiant: RA=212.0°, Dec=+43.6°, v=12.8 km/s. 1921 25.06.1921 15:53 UT. The Earth encounters 1733 trail. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR up to 5 meteors, brightness will be low, in radiorange stronger outbursts are likely. Theoretical radiant: RA=210.9°, Dec=+56.0°, v=14.6 km/s. 30.06.1921 20:12 UT. The Earth encounters 1802, 1892, 1898 and 1904 trails. For period 29-30 June vertical trails approach shows a number of enhancements not sronger than 5-7 meteors on ZHR scale (the strongest activity should occur close to the given maximum time). Brightness will be low, in radiorange stronger outbursts are likely. Theoretical radiant: for 1802 trail: RA=206.5°, Dec=+55.1°, v=14.3 km/s; for 1892 trail: RA=209.4°, Dec=+56.1°, v=14.7 km/s; for 1898 trail: RA=209.7°, Dec=+56.2°, v=14.7 km/s; for 1904 trail: RA=208.6°, Dec=+55.8°, v=14.6 km/s. 1925 01.07.1925 13:22 UT. The Earth encounters 1733 trail. Vertical trails approach shows activity on the level of separate meteors, brightness will be low, in radiorange stronger outbursts are likely. Theoretical radiant: RA=211.1°, Dec=+33.0°, v=11.5 km/s. 1926 10.07.1926 21:11 UT. The Earth encounters 1790 trail. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR up to 20 meteors, brightness will be high. Theoretical radiant: RA=191.4°, Dec=+6.2°, v=9.5 km/s. 1927 01.07.1927 12:16 UT. The Earth encounters 1802, 1880, 1886, 1892, 1898 and 1904 trails. For the period of a day around the the given maximum time vertical trails approach activity with ZHR up to 30 meteors. Brightness will be low, in radiorange stronger outbursts are likely. Theoretical radiant: for 1802 trail: RA=205.3°, Dec=+54.9°, v=14.3 km/s; for 1880 trail: RA=212.2°, Dec=+56.7°, v=14.9 km/s; for 1886 trail: RA=211.4°, Dec=+56.6°, v=14.9 km/s; for 1892 trail: RA=209.4°, Dec=+56.1°, v=14.7 km/s; for 1898 trail: RA=209.7°, Dec=+56.2°, v=14.7 km/s; for 1904 trail: RA=208.6°, Dec=+55.8°, v=14.6 km/s. 03.07.1927 11:50 UT. The Earth encounters 1790 trail. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR up to 5-7 meteors, brightness will be high. Theoretical radiant: RA=200.9°, Dec=+5.1°, v=9.5 km/s. 1936 05.07.1936 12:36 UT. The Earth encounters a channel of 1847-1858 trail, intersecting the Earth's orbit in June-July. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR up to 30 meteors. Brightness will be very low. Stronger activity is likely in radiorange. Theoretical radiant: 1845 trail: RA=209.6°, Dec=+41.9°, v=12.5 km/s; 1852 trail: RA=209.8°, Dec=+42.0°, v=12.5 km/s; 1858 trail: RA=209.9°, Dec=+42.1°, v=12.5 km/s. 1942 06-07.07.1942 19-0 UT. The Earth encounters a channel of 1819-1836 trail, intersecting the Earth's orbit in June-July. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR up to 20-25 meteors and perhaps with a number of submaximas. Brightness will be very low. Stronger activity is likely in radiorange. Theoretical radiant: 1819 trail: RA=208.6°, Dec=+41.3°, v=12.4 km/s, RA=208.8°, Dec=+41.4°, v=12.4 km/s; 1825 trail: RA=208.5°, Dec=+41.2°, v=12.4 km/s; 1830 trail: RA=208.5°, Dec=+41.2°, v=12.4 km/s; 1836 trail: RA=208.3°, Dec=+41.2°, v=12.3 km/s. 1950 06.08.1950 2:01 UT. The Earth encounters a 1727 trail, intersecting the Earth's orbit on 22 July. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR of 1-2 meteors. Brightness will be low. Theoretical radiant: RA=178.6°, Dec=+6.6°, v=12.2 km/s. 1955 06.07.1955 17:26 UT. The Earth encounters 1858 and 1869 trails, intersecting the Earth's orbit on 17 June and 24 August, respectively. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR of about 1 meteor. Brightness will be very low, in radiorange stronger activity is likely . Theoretical radiant: for 1858 trail: RA=209.4°, Dec=+41.7°, v=12.4 km/s; for 1869 trail: RA=210.5°, Dec=+42.4°, v=12.6 km/s. 1961 06.07.1961 6:02 UT. The Earth encounters 1819, 1825, 1830, 1836 and 1847 trails, intersecting the Earth's orbit in May - August. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR up 5-10 meteors. Brightness will be very low, in radiorange stronger activity is likely . Theoretical radiant: for 1819 trail: RA=209.6°, Dec=+41.7°, v=12.5 km/s; for 1825 trail: RA=209.4°, Dec=+41.7°, v=12.5 km/s, RA=209.4°, Dec=+41.7°, v=12.4 km/s; for 1830 trail: RA=209.3°, Dec=+41.8°, v=12.5 km/s; for 1847 trail: RA=209.9°, Dec=+42.0°, v=12.5 km/s. 1986 01.07.1986 4 UT. The Earth encounters 1836-1847 trails, intersecting the Earth's orbit in June - July. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR up 10-15 meteors during the period of appr. 21 UT 30 June to 12 UT 1 July. Brightness will be low. Theoretical radiant: for 1836 trail RA=218.1°, Dec=+45.4°, v=13.5 km/s; for 1841 trail RA=218.9°, Dec=+45.8°, v=13.6 km/s; for 1847 trail RA=219.3°, Dec=+46.1°, v=13.6 km/s. 1992 26-27.06.1992. The Earth encounters 1808-1875 trails, intersecting the Earth's orbit in June - July. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR up 1 meteor. Brightness will be low. Theoretical radiant: RA=223.3°, Dec=+47.8°, v=14.3 km/s. 1998 27.06.1998 21:40 UT. The Earth encounters 1813-1875 trails, intersecting the Earth's orbit in June - July. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR up 600-700 meteors. Brightness will be low. Also, period of activity with ZHR higher than 100-300 meteors will last from 3 UT 27 June to 3 UT 28 June. Meteor brightness should slowly increase during this period. Theoretical radiants: for 1813 trail: RA=222.8°, Dec=+47.4°, v=14.2 km/s; for 1819 trail: RA=222.5°, Dec=+47.2°, v=14.1 km/s; for 1825 trail: RA=221.4°, Dec=+47.3°, v=14.2 km/s; for 1830 trail: RA=222.2°, Dec=+47.5°, v=14.2 km/s; for 1836 trail: RA=222.9°, Dec=+47.6°, v=14.2 km/s; for 1841 trail: RA=223.1°, Dec=+47.7°, v=14.3 km/s; for 1847 trail: RA=223.2°, Dec=+47.6°, v=14.2 km/s; for 1852 trail: RA=223.2°, Dec=+47.5°, v=14.2 km/s; for 1858 trail: RA=223.3°, Dec=+47.7°, v=14.3 km/s; for 1863 trail: RA=223.2°, Dec=+47.9°, v=14.3 km/s; for 1869 trail: RA=223.6°, Dec=+48.0°, v=14.3 km/s; for 1875 trail: RA=224.1°, Dec=+48.6°, v=14.4 km/s. 2004 23.06.2004 12:59 UT. The Earth encounters 1813-1875 trails, intersecting the Earth's orbit in June - July. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR up 20-25 meteors. Brightness will be low. We expect that period of activity will last from 8-9 UT 23 June to 4-5 UT 24 June. The major part of meteors will be produced by 1841 trail, some amounts will came from 1813 and 1875 trails, other trails from given interval won't give significant activity. Theoretical radiants: for 1813 trail: RA=222.4°, Dec=+46.5°, v=14.1 km/s; for 1841 trail: RA=222.2°, Dec=+46.8°, v=14.1 km/s; RA=222.8°, Dec=+46.8°, v=14.2 km/s; for 1875 trail: RA=222.4°, Dec=+47.4°, v=14.2 km/s. 2010 23-24.06.2010 14-4 UT. The Earth again encounters the resonant cloud, which produced activity in 2004. However this time cloud trail intersect the Earth's orbit appr. three weeks later than in 2004. So the pure result of using vertical trails approach shows absence of activity. Nevertheless, considering many perturbations in the structure of cloud we don't exclude that during the given period a very weak activity with ZHR not higher than 3-5 meteors is possible. Theoretical radiants: RA=222.5°, Dec=+47.3°, v=14.1 km/s. 2039 23.06.2039 13:03 UT. The Earth encounters 2027 trail. Vertical trails approach shows activity on the level od separate meteors with high average brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=217.4°, Dec=+57.6°, v=15.2 km/s. 2045 22.06.2045 10:26 UT. The Earth encounters with channel of 1957-2008 trails. The most close will be 1976 and 1983 trails. Vertical trails approach shows a very strong activity outburst with ZHR=1000-2000 meteors, but we don't exclude, that it will reach 5000-7000 meteors. Brightness will be very high. So far, we have a good chance for "storm of slow fireballs". The overall activity period should last from 2 to 19 UT of 22 June. Theoretical radiants: for 1957 trail: RA=211.3°, Dec=+54.8°, v=14.2 km/s; for 1964 trail: RA=212.1°, Dec=+55.1°, v=14.4 km/s; for 1970 trail: RA=212.7°, Dec=+55.5°, v=14.5 km/s; for 1976 trail: RA=213.2°, Dec=+55.8°, v=14.6 km/s; for 1983 trail: RA=213.8°, Dec=+56.1°, v=14.7 km/s; for 1989 trail: RA=214.2°, Dec=+56.3°, v=14.7 km/s; for 1996 trail: RA=214.8°, Dec=+56.6°, v=14.8 km/s; for 2002 trail: RA=215.2°, Dec=+56.8°, v=14.9 km/s; for 2008 trai: RA=215.8°, Dec=+57.0°, v=15.0 km/s. 2051 23.06.2045 around 0 UT. The Earth encounters with channel of 1957-1970 trails. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR up 10 meteors with high average brightness. Theoretical radiants: RA=216.7°, Dec=+57.1°, v=15.1 km/s. 2057 19.06.2057 around 0-4 UT. The Earth encounters with channel of 1819-1880 trails. Vertical trails approach shows activity on the level of separate meteors meteors with low average brightness. Stronger activity is possible in radiorange. Theoretical radiants: RA=218.7°, Dec=+56.3°, v=15.2 km/s. 2063 16.06.2063 22:07 UT. The Earth encounters with 1904 trail. Considering this a direct encounter, we can expect an outburst with ZHR up to 100-150 meteors with very low brightness. Theoretical radiants: RA=194.6°, Dec=+45.9°, v=12.0 km/s. 2068 23.06.2068 14:02 UT. The Earth encounters with 1996 trail. Vertical trails approach shows activity on the level of separate meteors meteors with high average brightness. Theoretical radiants: RA=219.7°, Dec=+59.2°, v=15.7 km/s. 2069 12-13.06.2069 around 20-1 UT. The Earth encounters with 2015-2033 trails. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR of 1-2 meteors with low average brightness. Theoretical radiants: RA=187.2°, Dec=+37.3°, v=10.8 km/s. 15.06.2069 5:09 UT. The Earth encounters with 1880-1898 trails. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR of 1-2 meteors with not high average brightness. Theoretical radiants: RA=191.2°, Dec=+42.7°, v=11.4 km/s. 2075 31.05-02.06.2075. The Earth encounters with 1933 and 1939 trails. Vertical trails approach shows possible periods of activity on the level of separate meteors within the given time interval. Brigntness will be very low. Theoretical radiants: RA=181.6°, Dec=+26.1°, v=9.9 km/s. 08.06.2075 21:28 UT. Direct encounter with 1951 trail. We expect activity on the level of separate meteors with very low brightness. Theoretical radiants: RA=183.9°, Dec=+41.2°, v=11.0 km/s. 2081 08.06.2081 around 13:24 UT. The Earth encounters with 2033 trail. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR up to 15 meteors with low average brightness. Theoretical radiants: RA=183.3°, Dec=+32.0°, v=10.2 km/s. 11-12.06.2081. The Earth encounters with 1898 and 1904 trails. Vertical trails approach shows the possibility of a number of activity outbursts within given time imterval with ZHR up to 10 meteors. Theoretical radiants: for 1898 trail: RA=185.6°, Dec=+36.7°, v=10.6 km/s; for 1904 trail: RA=186.3°, Dec=+38.2°, v=10.8 km/s; RA=187.0°, Dec=+39.1°, v=10.9 km/s. 2087 02.05.2087 17:42 UT. The Earth encounters with 1875 trail. Vertical trails approach shows activity on the level of separate meteors with very low brightness. In radiorange a strong outburst is possible. Theoretical radiants: RA=191.1°, Dec=+1.9°, v=14.0 km/s. 08-09.06.2087 21-3 UT. The Earth encounters with 1996-2008 trails. Vertical trails approach shows activity with ZHR about 1-2 meteors with low brightness. Theoretical radiant: RA=185.3°, Dec=+45.2°, v=11.4 km/s. 15-16.06.2087. The Earth encounters with 1813-1830 trails. Vertical trails approach shows periods of activity with ZHR about 2-3 meteors within given time interval. Brigntness will be quite low. Theoretical radiant: for 1813 trail: RA=195.4°, Dec=+8.7°, v=12.3 km/s; for 1825 trail: RA=195.2°, Dec=+9.6°, v=12.2 km/s. 2093 26.05-01.06.2093. The Earth encounters with 1996-2033 trails. Vertical trails approach shows the possibility of a number of activity outbursts within given time imterval with ZHR up to 60-80 meteors, brightness will be low. Theoretical radiants: for 1996 trail: RA=180.9°, Dec=+15.7°, v=9.8 km/s; for 2002 trail: RA=180.2°, Dec=+19.2°, v=9.8 km/s; for 2008 trail: RA=179.8°, Dec=+21.2°, v=9.8 km/s; for 2015 trail: RA=179.5°, Dec=+34.4°, v=10.3 km/s; for 2021 trail: RA=179.0°, Dec=+24.8°, v=9.8 km/s; for 2027 trail: RA=179.5°, Dec=+22.8°, v=9.7 km/s; for 2033 trail: RA=181.5°, Dec=+17.9°, v=9.7 km/s. 12.06.2093. The Earth encounters with 1904 trail. Vertical trails approach shows possible activity on the level of separate meteors with very low brightness. Theoretical radiants: RA=187.0°, Dec=+43.3°, v=11.3 km/s. 2095 11-12.06.2081. The Earth encounters with 1898 и 1904 trails. Vertical trails approach shows the possibility of a number of activity outbursts within given time imterval with ZHR up to 10 meteors. Theoretical radiants: for 1898 trail: RA=185.6°, Dec=+36.7°, v=10.6 km/s; for 1904 trail: RA=186.3°, Dec=+38.2°, v=10.8 km/s; RA=187.0°, Dec=+39.1°, v=10.9 km/s. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||