1901
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
4 | 1767 | -0.00479 | 17.03 | 0.369 | 233.656 | 15.11.1901 8:15 | 15 | 4 |
5 | 1733 | 0.00152 | 17.10 | 0.455 | 234.127 | 15.11.1901 19:27 | 331 | 4 |
5 | 1733 | 0.00193 | 17.79 | -0.069 | 234.166 | 15.11.1901 20:23 | 25 | 4 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
234.198 | 15.11.1901 21:09 | 30 | 2 |
In 1901 the first enhancement will be a small increase of activity from 1767 trail at 8:15 UT 15 November. Considering background activity, ZHR will rise up to 35-40 meteors. A small falling of average meteor brightness is likely. After that activity will go down a little, till ZHR=25-30 meteors. Then a strong outburst from 1733 trail will occur. Its peak will happen not long before backfround maximum and total intensity will be about 370-400 meteors on ZHR scale. An optimistic prediction for this outburst is ZHR=500-600 meteors. Also it should be characterised by hightened amounts of bright meteors. Traditional maximum will be absorbed by this outburst.
1902
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
3 | 1800 | -0.00356 | 27.60 | 0.414 | 233.857 | 15.11.1902 19:11 | 16 | 4 |
4 | 1767 | -0.00442 | 24.26 | 0.227 | 234.252 | 16.11.1902 4:35 | 7 | 4 |
5 | 1733 | -0.00617 | 22.69 | 0.454 | 234.433 | 16.11.1902 8:54 | 7 | 4 |
17 | 1333 | -0.00023 | 11.74 | 0.002 | 234.540 | 16.11.1902 11:27 | 2 | 2 |
23 | 1135 | 0.00135 | 11.62 | -0.012 | 237.084 | 18.11.1902 23:59 | 2 | 1 |
23 | 1135 | 0.00150 | 11.62 | 0.013 | 237.091 | 19.11.1902 0:09 | 2 | 1 |
24 | 1102 | -0.00018 | 11.62 | -0.004 | 237.135 | 19.11.1902 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
234.198 | 16.11.1902 3:18 | 30 | 2 |
A number of small peaks from 1733, 1767 and 1800 trails before and after traditional maximum, as well as traditional maximum itself will impose on each other and give a lengthy maximum with ZHR about 40-45 meteors. Its duration (period with activity higher than half of that at maximum) will be several hours from 20 UT 15 November till 5 UT 16 November, some submaximas are likely. Also, in the period close to the peaks of mentioned trails the share of faint meteors will increase.
1903
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
2 | 1833 | -0.00437 | 45.50 | 0.495 | 233.778 | 15.11.1903 23:27 | 1 | 4 |
11 | 1533 | -0.00016 | 7.09 | 0.143 | 233.975 | 16.11.1903 4:09 | 499 | 3 |
11 | 1533 | 0.00028 | 7.54 | -0.029 | 234.015 | 16.11.1903 5:06 | 77 | 3 |
11 | 1533 | 0.00035 | 7.63 | 0.002 | 234.021 | 16.11.1903 5:15 | 5 | 3 |
5 | 1733 | 0.00547 | 28.98 | -0.150 | 234.382 | 16.11.1903 13:50 | 1 | 4 |
5 | 1733 | 0.00581 | 29.41 | 0.546 | 234.417 | 16.11.1903 14:41 | 3 | 4 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
234.198 | 16.11.1903 9:28 | 20 | 2 |
Several hours before traditional maximum, about 4:15-4:20 UT 16 November, 1533 trail should give a strong outbirst with ZHR~700 meteors. This outbirst will be notable for a moderate increase of average meteor brightness. Traditional maximum will be most soon absorbed by this outburst, but its influence will be expressed by a little slower lowering of activity after the peak comparing to the rise.
1904
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
16 | 1333 | -0.00335 | 26.77 | 0.045 | 231.184 | 12.11.1904 15:48 | 1 | 2 |
16 | 1333 | -0.00085 | 26.56 | 0.103 | 232.791 | 13.11.1904 6:15 | 5 | 2 |
16 | 1333 | -0.00005 | 26.51 | 0.111 | 232.982 | 13.11.1904 10:49 | 7 | 2 |
16 | 1333 | 0.00419 | 26.14 | 0.098 | 233.447 | 14.11.1904 21:43 | 1 | 2 |
1 | 1866 | 0.00419 | 96.34 | 0.736 | 233.712 | 15.11.1904 4:02 | 2 | 4 |
16 | 1333 | 0.00312 | 26.25 | -0.128 | 233.979 | 15.11.1904 10:25 | 2 | 2 |
7 | 1666 | -0.00630 | 8.59 | -0.142 | 235.209 | 16.11.1904 15:41 | 1 | 4 |
7 | 1666 | -0.00633 | 8.60 | 0.255 | 235.212 | 16.11.1904 15:45 | 1 | 4 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
234.198 | 15.11.1904 15:37 | 20 | 2 |
On 13 November some small enhancements of Leonid activity due to 1333 trail are likely. Maximum will be with ZHR about 10 meteors, it will occur at 7-10 UT 13 November. Average meteor brightness will be quite low.
Traditional maximum will be somewhat higher than usual with ZHR about 20 meteors.
1905
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
18 | 1268 | -0.00243 | 13.39 | 0.174 | 231.640 | 13.11.1905 8:48 | 14 | 1 |
3 | 1800 | 0.00196 | 49.16 | 0.378 | 233.591 | 15.11.1905 7:19 | 3 | 4 |
7 | 1666 | -0.00485 | 9.55 | 0.043 | 235.859 | 17.11.1905 13:18 | 1 | 4 |
6 | 1699 | -0.00360 | 13.20 | 0.047 | 236.352 | 18.11.1905 1:03 | 1 | 4 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
234.198 | 15.11.1905 21:46 | 15-20 | 2 |
At 9 UT 13 November a small enhancement up to ZHR=15 meteors due to 1268 trail is possible. Meteor brightness should be a little lower than average. Traditional maximum, as in 1904, is expected to be somewhat higher than usual with ZHR about 15-20 meteors.
1906
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
18 | 1268 | 0.00371 | 16.12 | 0.058 | 233.741 | 15.11.1906 7:02 | 2 | 1 |
13 | 1466 | 0.00057 | 6.11 | -0.003 | 235.037 | 16.11.1906 23:53 | 2 | 2 |
12 | 1499 | 0.00095 | 7.61 | -0.003 | 235.156 | 17.11.1906 2:44 | 1 | 3 |
20 | 1268 | -0.00112 | -16.69 | -0.005 | 236.316 | 18.11.1906 6:20 | 1 | 0 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
234.198 | 16.11.1906 3:55 | 15-20 | 2 |
No additional enhancements are expected in 1906. Traditional maximum should be higher than usual with ZHR=15-20 meteors.
1907
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
13 | 1466 | 0.00238 | 7.87 | -0.057 | 234.663 | 16.11.1907 21:09 | 3 | 2 |
13 | 1466 | 0.00123 | 7.41 | -0.106 | 234.665 | 16.11.1907 21:11 | 24 | 2 |
10 | 1567 | 0.00018 | 10.69 | 0.078 | 234.780 | 16.11.1907 23:56 | 250 | 3 |
10 | 1567 | -0.00036 | 10.18 | -0.027 | 234.805 | 17.11.1907 0:32 | 67 | 3 |
10 | 1567 | -0.00035 | 10.00 | 0.002 | 234.816 | 17.11.1907 0:47 | 6 | 3 |
12 | 1499 | 0.00149 | 9.45 | -0.003 | 234.903 | 17.11.1907 2:52 | 1 | 3 |
12 | 1499 | -0.00058 | 8.15 | -0.025 | 234.912 | 17.11.1907 3:04 | 27 | 3 |
12 | 1499 | -0.00102 | 7.84 | 0.104 | 235.005 | 17.11.1907 5:17 | 41 | 3 |
12 | 1499 | -0.00118 | 7.73 | -0.035 | 235.037 | 17.11.1907 6:03 | 10 | 3 |
12 | 1499 | -0.00109 | 7.48 | -0.002 | 235.074 | 17.11.1907 6:55 | 1 | 3 |
12 | 1499 | -0.00053 | 7.48 | 0.001 | 235.079 | 17.11.1907 7:03 | 1 | 3 |
11 | 1533 | 0.00131 | 12.19 | -0.009 | 235.432 | 17.11.1907 15:27 | 3 | 3 |
11 | 1533 | 0.00102 | 11.68 | 0.013 | 235.453 | 17.11.1907 15:58 | 9 | 3 |
11 | 1533 | 0.00060 | 10.86 | -0.001 | 235.486 | 17.11.1907 16:44 | 1 | 3 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
234.198 | 16.11.1907 10:04 | 20-25 | 3 |
In 1907 three or four Leonid peaks of different intensity are expected. The first at 10 UT 16 November will be traditional maximum, which should be notably higher than usual with ZHR up to 25 meteors. Then at 0 UT 17 November a strong peak from 1567 trail is likely, some additional activity should come from 1433 trail. Its intensity should rise to 300-350 meteors on ZHR scale. Meteor brigtness will be close to average level. This peak will partially impose on the naxt one, from 1499 trail. It will reach highest point at 5 UT 17 November and its intensity will be 70-90 on ZHR scale, while meteor brightness will be about average level or slightly higher. Finally, at 16 UT 17 November a small enhancement from 1533 trail is possible. Its intensity will be not higher than 20 meteors on ZHR scale, meteor brightness is average.
1908
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
12 | 1499 | -0.00397 | 10.60 | -0.048 | 235.063 | 16.11.1908 12:49 | 1 | 3 |
13 | 1466 | -0.00190 | 9.85 | -0.013 | 235.130 | 16.11.1908 14:25 | 2 | 2 |
13 | 1466 | -0.00011 | 9.82 | 0.001 | 235.149 | 16.11.1908 14:52 | 2 | 2 |
14 | 1433 | 0.00218 | 11.29 | 0.023 | 235.153 | 16.11.1908 14:58 | 2 | 2 |
14 | 1433 | 0.00218 | 11.24 | -0.028 | 235.157 | 16.11.1908 15:03 | 3 | 2 |
13 | 1466 | -0.00166 | 9.98 | 0.057 | 235.158 | 16.11.1908 15:04 | 10 | 2 |
12 | 1499 | -0.00393 | 11.10 | -0.064 | 235.201 | 16.11.1908 16:07 | 2 | 3 |
13 | 1466 | -0.00093 | 10.33 | -0.018 | 235.236 | 16.11.1908 16:56 | 9 | 2 |
13 | 1466 | -0.00047 | 10.36 | 0.001 | 235.272 | 16.11.1908 17:48 | 2 | 2 |
12 | 1499 | 0.00015 | 11.03 | 0.001 | 235.280 | 16.11.1908 17:59 | 1 | 3 |
23 | 1135 | 0.00015 | 15.54 | 0.001 | 235.459 | 16.11.1908 22:15 | 1 | 1 |
28 | 968 | -0.00063 | 8.30 | -0.010 | 238.434 | 19.11.1908 21:00 | 2 | 0 |
28 | 968 | -0.00070 | 8.30 | 0.011 | 238.454 | 19.11.1908 21:23 | 2 | 0 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
234.198 | 15.11.1908 16:14 | 20-25 | 3 |
Two peaks are expected in 1908. The first will be quite strong traditional maximum with ZHR up to 25 meteors at 16 UT 15 November. On the next day, 16 November, at 15-17 UT, some increase of activity is possible due to 1433, 1466 and 1499 trails. Several submaximas are likely, and peak ZHR should not surpass 15-20 meteors. Brightness of meteors from these trails will be about average level.
1909
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
2 | 1833 | -0.00233 | 99.85 | 0.417 | 233.334 | 15.11.1909 1:49 | 3 | 4 |
13 | 1466 | -0.00338 | 10.82 | -0.023 | 235.582 | 17.11.1909 7:20 | 1 | 2 |
14 | 1433 | -0.00119 | 12.26 | 0.004 | 235.762 | 17.11.1909 11:37 | 1 | 2 |
14 | 1433 | -0.00122 | 12.26 | -0.006 | 235.785 | 17.11.1909 12:10 | 2 | 2 |
14 | 1433 | -0.00140 | 12.27 | 0.007 | 235.883 | 17.11.1909 14:29 | 2 | 2 |
11 | 1533 | -0.00360 | 18.04 | -0.009 | 236.447 | 18.11.1909 3:55 | 1 | 3 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
234.198 | 15.11.1909 22:23 | 20-25 | 3 |
In 1909 at 22 UT 15 November quite strong traditinal maximum with ZHR=20-25 meteors should occur. No additional activity enhancements are expected.
1910
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
17 | 1333 | 0.00350 | 22.48 | 0.099 | 236.936 | 18.11.1910 21:41 | 3 | 2 |
11 | 1533 | -0.00097 | 19.08 | 0.004 | 237.415 | 19.11.1910 9:06 | 2 | 3 |
11 | 1533 | -0.00115 | 19.19 | -0.012 | 237.517 | 19.11.1910 11:31 | 6 | 3 |
17 | 1333 | -0.00224 | 24.64 | 0.041 | 239.252 | 21.11.1910 4:46 | 2 | 2 |
17 | 1333 | -0.00226 | 24.64 | -0.037 | 239.254 | 21.11.1910 4:48 | 1 | 2 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
234.198 | 16.11.1910 4:32 | 5-10 | 0 |
In 1910 traditinal maximum will be quite weak, not more than 10 meteor on ZHR scale. It will take place at 4-5 UT 16 November. However, at 11 UT 19 November another one small enhancement from 1533 trail is likely. It also hardly surpass 10 meteors on ZHR scale, but average meteor brightness at this time should decrease.