Leonids 1921-1930

1921
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
101600-0.00097-26.980.146233.60915.11.1921 10:12270
101600-0.00008-25.61-0.007233.61415.11.1921 10:1930
1713660.00501-11.910.961233.61415.11.1921 14:41130
1713660.00499-11.40-0.092233.83015.11.1921 16:1010
141466-0.00357-11.56-0.039234.07615.11.1921 21:1910
1514330.00291-9.32-0.029234.07615.11.1921 21:2011
299680.00261-5.22-0.032234.31316.11.1921 2:5710
299680.00272-5.210.057234.31416.11.1921 2:5920
1713660.00321-8.980.088235.21417.11.1921 0:2421
1713660.00312-8.57-0.234235.23617.11.1921 0:5661
131499-0.00463-14.80-0.044235.29817.11.1921 2:2510
131499-0.00477-14.760.033235.29917.11.1921 2:2610
2810010.00032-8.72-0.007235.36117.11.1921 3:5510
1713660.00035-9.050.004235.40417.11.1921 4:5631
1414660.00054-9.530.002235.48817.11.1921 6:5521
1514330.00235-7.86-0.044235.49317.11.1921 7:0321
29968-0.00006-5.81-0.014235.49317.11.1921 7:0320
1414660.00025-9.52-0.021235.49517.11.1921 7:07301
1414660.00190-9.370.005235.94017.11.1921 17:3911
1414660.00216-9.350.007236.11517.11.1921 21:5211
1414660.00275-9.36-0.025236.12917.11.1921 22:1411
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.86916.11.1921 16:12254

In 1921 a very strong traditional maximum is expected. It is to occur at 16 UT 16 November, its ZHR can surpass 25 meteors. Also a number of enhancements from trails are possible. Some bright meteors can be produced by 1600 and 1366 trails in the period 10-15 UT 15 November. Another small increase is possible at 1 UT 17 November, again from 1366 trail. Finally, at 7 UT 17 November average meteor brighness can rise up due to the 1466 trail.

1922
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
1614000.00059-10.200.002232.67814.11.1922 18:1010
1514330.00050-10.380.014232.81614.11.1922 21:28120
1514330.00036-10.36-0.004232.82014.11.1922 21:3440
2511020.00013-5.950.004234.49116.11.1922 13:2110
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.86916.11.1922 22:21254

In 1922 again a strong traditional maximum is expected, but it can be a little weaker than in 1921. It is to occur at 22 UT 16 November and its intensity will be 25 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, some increase of bright meteors number can be produced by 1433 trail at 21-22 UT 14 November.

1923
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
101600-0.00387-21.420.015233.53815.11.1923 20:4911
41800-0.00145-45.290.384234.68117.11.1923 0:0261
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.86917.11.1923 4:3010-151

In 1923 background activuty will be weaker than in two previous years with ZHRmax about 10-15 meteors at 4-5 UT 17 November. Also, at 0 UT 17 November some increase of average meteor brightness is possible due to 1800 trail.

1924
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
not found
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.86916.11.1924 10:40101

In 1924 only traditional maximum is expected. Its intensity will be low, with ZHR about 10 meteors. Maximum time is 11 UT 1 November.

1925
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
517670.00207-29.171.171233.96315.11.1925 19:14951
517670.00223-28.690.024233.96315.11.1925 19:1521
517670.00215-28.98-0.815233.96415.11.1925 19:16651
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.86916.11.1925 16:49101

In 1925 at 17 UT 16 November a weak traditional maximum with ZHR about 10 meteors is expected. Also, at 19:15 UT 15 November an encounter with 1767 will occur. A definite increase of activity and sharp rising of bright meteors and fireballs amounts are possible, although outburst intensity should be several times lower than follows from the table data.

1926
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
71699-0.00482-25.350.104233.44715.11.1926 13:0621
71699-0.00486-25.45-0.503233.44815.11.1926 13:0881
71699-0.00491-25.57-0.531233.45115.11.1926 13:1281
617330.00093-24.580.005234.35216.11.1926 10:3941
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.86916.11.1926 22:5810-151

In 1926 some increase of traditional maximum intensity is expected. It is to occur at 23 UT 16 November with ZHR=10-15 meteors. A small increase of bright meteors numbers can be produced by 1699 trail at 13 UT 15 November.

1927
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
716990.00560-19.601.018233.92216.11.1927 6:35221
318330.00502-29.310.183236.64618.11.1927 23:2421
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.86917.11.1927 5:0710-150

In 1927 backgroud maximum is expected to be very weak, but considering coming comet 55P its intensity at 5 UT 17 November should reach 10-15 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, at 6:35 UT 16 November an increase of bright meteors number from 1699 trail is possible.

1928
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
131499-0.00418-11.71-0.079233.38614.11.1928 23:5720
131499-0.00324-11.880.028233.41515.11.1928 0:3910
29968-0.00143-4.52-0.008233.64215.11.1928 6:0310
151433-0.00013-6.24-0.029233.84615.11.1928 10:55481
171366-0.00066-6.85-0.001233.93015.11.1928 12:5511
1614000.00032-5.81-0.025233.94015.11.1928 13:10261
1713660.00062-6.360.167233.98015.11.1928 14:07831
1713660.00062-6.36-0.349233.98115.11.1928 14:091721
1713660.00050-6.77-0.004233.98315.11.1928 14:1121
1713660.00063-6.720.015233.99015.11.1928 14:2181
1713660.00061-6.770.002234.00415.11.1928 14:4011
1713660.00057-6.67-0.001234.00915.11.1928 14:4811
309350.00256-3.33-0.074234.20515.11.1928 19:2820
309350.00256-3.330.044234.20715.11.1928 19:3110
181333-0.00180-4.530.017234.23115.11.1928 20:0510
181333-0.00013-4.010.005234.28115.11.1928 21:1660
1713660.00184-6.00-0.023234.28815.11.1928 21:2711
1514330.00416-5.42-0.155234.31015.11.1928 21:5811
81666-0.00460-13.990.036234.43616.11.1928 0:5811
1813330.00065-4.03-0.002234.46616.11.1928 1:4110
716990.00033-10.050.140234.93916.11.1928 12:568512
716990.00028-9.14-0.010235.04416.11.1928 15:26743
71699-0.00034-9.07-0.000235.05616.11.1928 15:4433
61733-0.00320-11.65-0.095235.97917.11.1928 13:4262
41800-0.00423-16.220.119235.99417.11.1928 14:0272
41800-0.00377-16.39-0.009236.01617.11.1928 14:3412
41800-0.00377-16.390.008236.01617.11.1928 14:3512
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.86916.11.1928 11:17404

In 1928 the first heightened Leonid activity due to returning comet 55P will happen. The first possible enhancement is to occur at 11-14 UT 15 November. It is connected with 1366, 1400 and 1443 trails. In this period considerable increase of bright meteors number is expected and ZHR can rise up to several dozens meteors. The next outburst from 1699 trail will coinside with traditional maximum, whose intensity is expected to be very high. Peak is close to 13 UT 16 November, and at this time considerable increase of bright meteors and fireballs numbers is expected while ZHR can rise up to 150-200 meteors.

1929
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
218660.00155-27.700.563234.79816.11.1929 15:442551
81666-0.00280-10.710.233234.94616.11.1929 19:15161
81666-0.00266-10.44-0.149234.95116.11.1929 19:23111
81666-0.00258-10.240.010234.95216.11.1929 19:2511
716990.00011-9.060.000235.04216.11.1929 21:3343
716990.00080-9.00-0.007235.07416.11.1929 22:19103
716990.00083-8.140.094235.13316.11.1929 23:43983
31833-0.00138-18.070.003235.17417.11.1929 0:4132
31833-0.00133-18.08-0.006235.17517.11.1929 0:4292
31833-0.00155-19.320.315235.20617.11.1929 1:262792
41800-0.00153-13.550.074235.61317.11.1929 11:08492
251102-0.000385.500.002235.66317.11.1929 12:2011
51767-0.00178-11.090.101235.80117.11.1929 15:37292
61733-0.00271-9.950.096235.85817.11.1929 16:5873
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.86916.11.1929 17:26302

In 1929 the first enhancement will be traditional maximum mixed with bright meteors from 1866 trail. In the period 16-17 UT 16 November activity can rise up to 40-50 meteors on ZHR scale. The next peak from 1699 trail should happen at 0 UT 17 November. Its intensity is also to be about 50 meteors on ZHR scale with high share of bright meteors. The third enhancement will be produced by 1800 trail. This trail should give many bright meteors and fireballs and maximal activity at 1:26 UT 17 November can reach several dozens meteors on ZHR scale. Finally, at 11:08 and 15:37 UT 17 November 1800 and 1767 trails, respectively, can give and increase of bright meteors number.

1930
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
71699-0.00002-6.260.002235.18017.11.1930 7:00313
31833-0.00185-12.040.313235.30917.11.1930 10:031142
1016000.00016-5.620.000235.30917.11.1930 10:2512
41800-0.00116-9.550.226235.49117.11.1930 14:231713
51767-0.00184-8.280.179235.62317.11.1930 17:32293
61733-0.00315-7.850.152235.70317.11.1930 19:2653
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.86916.11.1930 23:35251

In 1930 several enhancements are expected. The first will be traditional maximum at 23:35 UT 16 November, whose low intensity in view of close comet 55P will mean activity about 25 meteors on ZHR scale. At 7:00 UT 17 November 1699 trail should increase ZHR to 30 meteors, the further increase to 50-60 meteors on ZHR scale is likely closer to 10:03 UT 17 November because of encounter with 1833 trail. All this will be accompanied with increase of bright meteors and fireballs numbers. The next notable enhancement is to occur at 14:23 UT 17 November when 1800 trail will rise ZHR up to 90-100 meteors, again with large numbers of bright meteors. Finally, at 17:32 UT 17 Novembers a small increase of bright meteors numbers is to happen due to encounter with 1767 trail.