1991
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
14 | 1533 | 0.00102 | -19.01 | -0.022 | 234.979 | 17.11.1991 17:35 | 8 | 0 |
14 | 1533 | 0.00105 | -19.00 | 0.012 | 234.981 | 17.11.1991 17:37 | 5 | 0 |
14 | 1533 | 0.00274 | -18.43 | -0.009 | 235.027 | 17.11.1991 18:43 | 1 | 0 |
8 | 1733 | 0.00050 | -16.21 | 0.039 | 237.422 | 20.11.1991 3:42 | 116 | 1 |
8 | 1733 | 0.00051 | -16.15 | -0.091 | 237.436 | 20.11.1991 4:02 | 269 | 1 |
8 | 1733 | 0.00037 | -15.74 | 0.005 | 237.538 | 20.11.1991 6:27 | 20 | 1 |
8 | 1733 | 0.00019 | -14.62 | -0.052 | 237.724 | 20.11.1991 10:53 | 273 | 1 |
8 | 1733 | 0.00018 | -14.58 | 0.025 | 237.730 | 20.11.1991 11:02 | 132 | 1 |
7 | 1767 | -0.00176 | -15.02 | 0.053 | 238.506 | 21.11.1991 5:28 | 21 | 2 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
235.008 | 17.11.1991 18:16 | 15 | 2 |
In 1991 a moderate background maximum is expected. At 18 UT 17 November activity will rise to 15 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, two outbursts can be produced by 1733 trail. The first one at 4 UT 20 November can reach 30-35 meteors on ZHR scale, the second one at 11 UT 20 November will perhaps reach 40 meteors on ZHR scale. Meteor brightness during all outbursts is considerably higher than average level.
1992
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
14 | 1533 | -0.00240 | -19.17 | -0.037 | 234.909 | 16.11.1992 22:04 | 4 | 0 |
14 | 1533 | 0.00120 | -17.57 | -0.017 | 234.937 | 16.11.1992 22:44 | 6 | 0 |
14 | 1533 | 0.00170 | -17.48 | 0.003 | 234.945 | 16.11.1992 22:55 | 1 | 0 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
235.008 | 17.11.1992 0:25 | 5-10 | 0 |
In 1992 a weak traditional maximum is expected. At 0 UT 17 November activity will rise to 5-10 meteors on ZHR scale. No other outbursts are found.
1993
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
13 | 1567 | -0.00072 | -6.24 | 0.004 | 236.253 | 18.11.1993 12:12 | 2 | 1 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
235.008 | 17.11.1993 6:34 | 5-10 | 0 |
In 1993 a weak traditional maximum is expected. At 7 UT 17 November activity will rise to 5-10 meteors on ZHR scale. No other outbursts are found.
1994
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
29 | 1035 | -0.00667 | -8.06 | -0.556 | 234.860 | 17.11.1994 9:12 | 4 | 0 |
29 | 1035 | -0.00578 | -7.41 | -0.768 | 235.133 | 17.11.1994 15:42 | 7 | 0 |
13 | 1567 | -0.00287 | -4.08 | -0.120 | 235.885 | 18.11.1994 9:35 | 1 | 1 |
13 | 1567 | -0.00204 | -3.78 | -0.457 | 236.153 | 18.11.1994 15:58 | 9 | 1 |
21 | 1300 | -0.00271 | 6.02 | -0.037 | 236.322 | 18.11.1994 20:00 | 1 | 1 |
21 | 1300 | 0.00255 | 12.16 | 0.013 | 237.826 | 20.11.1994 7:46 | 1 | 1 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
235.008 | 17.11.1994 12:43 | 25-30 | 2 |
In 1994 the first increase in background activity due to coming comet 55P should happen. At 13 UT 17 November activity will rise to 25-30 meteors. No other significant enhancements are found.
1995
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
не найдено |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
235.008 | 17.11.1995 18:53 | 20-25 | 1 |
In 1995 a background maximum weaker than average level is expected, but considering closing comet 55P activity will reach 20-25 meteors an ZHR scale at 19 UT 17 November. No other outbursts are expected.
1996
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
15 | 1499 | -0.00130 | -4.56 | -0.066 | 234.911 | 16.11.1996 22:42 | 5 | 1 |
15 | 1499 | -0.00111 | -4.40 | 0.033 | 234.921 | 16.11.1996 22:58 | 4 | 1 |
15 | 1499 | -0.00096 | -4.20 | -0.009 | 234.931 | 16.11.1996 23:11 | 1 | 1 |
15 | 1499 | -0.00096 | -3.05 | -0.012 | 235.065 | 17.11.1996 2:23 | 23 | 1 |
15 | 1499 | -0.00016 | -2.99 | 0.002 | 235.077 | 17.11.1996 2:40 | 4 | 1 |
21 | 1300 | 0.00154 | 3.25 | -0.039 | 235.755 | 17.11.1996 18:48 | 1 | 1 |
26 | 1135 | -0.00035 | 4.74 | -0.005 | 235.953 | 17.11.1996 23:30 | 2 | 0 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
235.008 | 17.11.1996 1:02 | 30 | 1 |
In 1996 traditional maximum will coincide with activity from 1499 trail. At 2 UT 17 November meteor numbers will rise to 40-45 on ZHR scale with high share of bright meteors.
1997
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
29 | 1035 | -0.00173 | -2.94 | 0.014 | 234.704 | 16.11.1997 23:57 | 1 | 1 |
29 | 1035 | -0.00144 | -2.95 | -0.010 | 234.721 | 17.11.1997 0:21 | 1 | 1 |
24 | 1201 | 0.00184 | 2.26 | 0.089 | 235.259 | 17.11.1997 13:10 | 1 | 1 |
24 | 1201 | 0.00184 | 1.70 | -0.015 | 235.292 | 17.11.1997 13:56 | 2 | 1 |
25 | 1167 | 0.00048 | 4.84 | -0.002 | 235.618 | 17.11.1997 21:42 | 1 | 1 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
235.008 | 17.11.1997 7:11 | 90-100 | 4 |
In 1997 a very strong background maximum due to close perihelion of comet 55P is expected. At 7 UT 17 November activity will rise to 90-100 meteors on ZHR scale. No outbursts from trails are found.
1998
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
19 | 1366 | -0.00222 | -3.80 | 0.052 | 234.201 | 16.11.1998 18:07 | 1 | 0 |
19 | 1366 | -0.00271 | -3.08 | -0.594 | 234.324 | 16.11.1998 21:03 | 4 | 0 |
18 | 1400 | -0.00174 | -2.81 | -0.047 | 234.404 | 16.11.1998 22:58 | 1 | 0 |
19 | 1366 | -0.00016 | -2.89 | 0.023 | 234.409 | 16.11.1998 23:04 | 24 | 0 |
19 | 1366 | -0.00039 | -2.83 | -0.009 | 234.420 | 16.11.1998 23:20 | 4 | 0 |
19 | 1366 | -0.00054 | -2.88 | -0.005 | 234.439 | 16.11.1998 23:47 | 1 | 0 |
19 | 1366 | -0.00060 | -2.83 | 0.005 | 234.439 | 16.11.1998 23:47 | 1 | 0 |
20 | 1333 | -0.00065 | -2.52 | 2.750 | 234.461 | 17.11.1998 0:18 | 320 | 0 |
20 | 1333 | 0.00135 | -2.87 | 0.212 | 234.485 | 17.11.1998 0:53 | 5 | 0 |
16 | 1466 | 0.00016 | -2.80 | -0.002 | 234.506 | 17.11.1998 1:25 | 3 | 1 |
24 | 1201 | -0.00023 | 1.10 | 0.008 | 234.611 | 17.11.1998 3:52 | 1 | 1 |
25 | 1167 | 0.00151 | 2.72 | -0.240 | 234.779 | 17.11.1998 7:53 | 4 | 1 |
25 | 1167 | 0.00135 | 2.67 | 0.235 | 234.785 | 17.11.1998 8:01 | 5 | 1 |
21 | 1300 | 0.00022 | -2.97 | 0.003 | 234.791 | 17.11.1998 8:10 | 2 | 0 |
26 | 1135 | 0.00022 | 2.70 | -0.011 | 234.817 | 17.11.1998 8:47 | 5 | 0 |
27 | 1102 | -0.00012 | 3.01 | 0.001 | 234.831 | 17.11.1998 9:08 | 1 | 0 |
1 | 1965 | -0.00659 | 14.46 | 0.950 | 235.055 | 17.11.1998 14:28 | 21 | 4 |
2 | 1932 | -0.00535 | 7.85 | 0.527 | 235.097 | 17.11.1998 15:27 | 6 | 4 |
4 | 1866 | -0.00386 | 4.21 | 0.278 | 235.513 | 18.11.1998 1:22 | 2 | 4 |
20 | 1333 | -0.00066 | 8.93 | -0.022 | 236.309 | 18.11.1998 20:18 | 8 | 1 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
235.008 | 17.11.1998 13:20 | 110-130 | 4 |
In 1998 the first peak will be significant outburst from 1333 and 1366 trails (mostly from 133 trail). At 0 UT 17 November ZHR will rise to 200 meteors with brightness above average level. After that a very strong traditional maximum coinciding with maximum from 1965 trail will follow. At 14 UT 17 November activity will rise to 130-150 meteors on ZHR scale. Their brightness will be average or slightly below average. Finally, at 20 UT 18 November another small enhancement from 1333 trail is possible. Activity will rise to 30-40 meteors on ZHR scale, meteor brightness is average.
1999
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
1 | 1965 | -0.00464 | 34.36 | 0.903 | 235.134 | 17.11.1999 22:29 | 4 | 4 |
2 | 1932 | -0.00185 | 18.84 | 0.506 | 235.218 | 18.11.1999 0:29 | 327 | 4 |
3 | 1899 | 0.00065 | 13.55 | 0.368 | 235.311 | 18.11.1999 2:42 | 2313 | 4 |
3 | 1899 | 0.00174 | 16.32 | -0.001 | 235.354 | 18.11.1999 3:44 | 1 | 4 |
4 | 1866 | -0.00160 | 8.24 | 0.166 | 235.995 | 18.11.1999 18:59 | 42 | 4 |
5 | 1833 | -0.00335 | 5.56 | 0.098 | 236.035 | 18.11.1999 19:56 | 1 | 4 |
6 | 1800 | -0.00385 | 4.69 | 0.101 | 236.054 | 18.11.1999 20:22 | 1 | 4 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
235.008 | 17.11.1999 19:30 | 30-35 | 1 |
In 1999 a not very strong traditional maximum is expected, but it will sink in coming storm from 1899 trail (with addition from 1932 trail). At 2:42 UT 18 November 1899 trail will give a maximum of 2500 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, at 0:29 UT a submaximum from 1932 trail can appear. Meteor brightness during the storm will be a little below average. Another small outburst should happen at 18:59 UT 18 November. It will be connected with 1866 trail and ZHR will rise to about 50 meteors with brightness a little higher than average.
2000
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
1 | 1965 | -0.00305 | 53.32 | 0.861 | 235.193 | 17.11.2000 6:03 | 4 | 4 |
2 | 1932 | 0.00116 | 29.56 | 0.509 | 235.306 | 17.11.2000 8:44 | 228 | 4 |
2 | 1932 | 0.00137 | 31.13 | 0.028 | 235.311 | 17.11.2000 8:51 | 6 | 4 |
3 | 1899 | 0.00498 | 21.34 | 0.362 | 235.427 | 17.11.2000 12:40 | 13 | 4 |
20 | 1333 | 0.00028 | 5.88 | 0.002 | 235.877 | 17.11.2000 22:20 | 1 | 1 |
20 | 1333 | -0.00089 | 6.08 | -0.014 | 236.055 | 18.11.2000 2:33 | 3 | 1 |
7 | 1767 | -0.00237 | 5.85 | 0.078 | 236.078 | 18.11.2000 3:07 | 3 | 4 |
8 | 1733 | -0.00049 | 6.70 | 0.001 | 236.078 | 18.11.2000 3:07 | 2 | 3 |
8 | 1733 | -0.00070 | 6.49 | -0.125 | 236.079 | 18.11.2000 3:08 | 120 | 3 |
8 | 1733 | -0.00079 | 6.27 | 0.266 | 236.082 | 18.11.2000 3:13 | 185 | 3 |
8 | 1733 | -0.00014 | 7.13 | 0.000 | 236.086 | 18.11.2000 3:17 | 3 | 3 |
8 | 1733 | -0.00035 | 7.19 | 0.001 | 236.091 | 18.11.2000 3:26 | 2 | 3 |
8 | 1733 | -0.00087 | 5.94 | -0.046 | 236.094 | 18.11.2000 3:29 | 23 | 3 |
6 | 1800 | -0.00305 | 6.11 | 0.073 | 236.114 | 18.11.2000 3:58 | 2 | 4 |
20 | 1333 | -0.00071 | 6.10 | 0.004 | 236.134 | 18.11.2000 4:26 | 1 | 1 |
5 | 1833 | -0.00275 | 7.29 | 0.083 | 236.159 | 18.11.2000 5:02 | 4 | 4 |
4 | 1866 | -0.00079 | 11.14 | 0.128 | 236.255 | 18.11.2000 7:20 | 325 | 4 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
235.008 | 17.11.2000 1:39 | 30-35 | 2 |
In 2000 several peaks are expected. The first will be background maximum of moderate intensity, but considering close comet 55P it can result in 40-45 meteors on ZHR scale. Then at 8:44 UT 17 November a maximum from 1932 trail will happen. Its intensity will be 250-300 meteors on ZHR scale, meteor brightness notably lower than average. The next outburst will be caused by 1733 trail. It will occur at 3:11 UT 18 November and activity will rise to 350 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness somewhat higher than average. Finally, at 7:20 UT 18 November a maximum from 1866 trail will take place. Its intensity will also be about 350 meteors on ZHR scale with brightness close to average level.