Leonids 2001-2010

2001
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
11965-0.0021071.380.822235.21917.11.2001 12:49104
219320.0033939.850.474235.35317.11.2001 16:0124
717670.000859.12-0.006236.10818.11.2001 9:5874
717670.000478.030.143236.12718.11.2001 10:254714
61800-0.001319.02-0.015236.14118.11.2001 10:4664
61800-0.001349.040.006236.14118.11.2001 10:4624
817330.004429.530.047236.14818.11.2001 10:5613
717670.000096.76-0.004236.16218.11.2001 11:16594
61800-0.001308.010.122236.17218.11.2001 11:29444
717670.000149.180.000236.20618.11.2001 12:1954
51833-0.001669.240.106236.25418.11.2001 13:26274
101666-0.0000512.750.434236.40318.11.2001 16:59823
91699-0.0000124.020.371236.42618.11.2001 17:3327903
111633-0.0000202.62-0.019236.43018.11.2001 17:36443
41866-0.00001913.830.128236.45818.11.2001 18:1838014
101666-0.0000043.04-0.010236.48118.11.2001 18:52833
91699-0.0000074.650.001236.48718.11.2001 19:0053
916990.0000314.940.000236.51418.11.2001 19:3713
916990.0000614.61-0.016236.53118.11.2001 20:02113
916990.0000924.93-0.005236.59218.11.2001 21:2913
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2001 7:4840-503

In 2001 a strong background maximum is expected. At 8 UT 17 November activity will rise to 40-50 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, a number of outbursts from trails is expected. The first will be small increase from 1965 trail. It will happen at 12:49 UT 17 November, ZHR will rise to 30-40 meteors with lowering of their average brightness. The next strong outburst will occur at 10:25 UT 18 November. It will be caused by 1767 trail, its intensity will be 550-600 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be on the average level or slightly above it. After that a strong storm will take place. It will be produced by 1699 and 1866 trails which will partly impose upon each other. From 17:33 to 18:18 UT 18 November a quite long peak is expected, during this period activity will vary between 4400 - 5200 meteors on ZHR scale. The first part of the storm will be characterised by bright meteors, then their brightness will decline to a little lower that average level.

2002
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
11965-0.0017788.640.786235.22017.11.2002 19:00184
181400-0.000053.510.001236.42418.11.2002 23:3812
171433-0.000313.960.001236.49919.11.2002 1:2613
1814000.000044.07-0.007236.51319.11.2002 1:46102
1714330.000643.88-0.007236.51419.11.2002 1:4823
71767-0.000239.190.000236.58119.11.2002 3:2344
717670.0001311.150.123236.61319.11.2002 4:0911454
71767-0.000149.24-0.004236.62019.11.2002 4:19394
61800-0.0014410.590.129236.63619.11.2002 4:41544
51833-0.0014711.750.110236.68819.11.2002 5:56574
81733-0.000165.830.000236.70519.11.2002 6:2123
1913660.001275.36-0.014236.78019.11.2002 8:0712
418660.0000416.750.138236.89019.11.2002 10:4443364
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2002 13:5720-302

In 2002 two storms will happen. But the first peak will be traditional maximum. Considering close comet 55P activity at 14 UT 17 Novemeber will rise to 20-30 meteors on ZHR scale. Then a small ehnancement from 1965 trail will follow. At 19 UT 17 November activity will rise to 30-40 meteors on ZHR scale, meteor brightness will be very low, in radiorange a much stronger outburst is likely. After that at 4:09 UT 18 November the first storm caused by 1767 trail will occur. Activity will rise to 1300 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness close to average level. The second storm will be much stronger. At 10:44 UT 18 November 1866 trail will give activity up to 4300 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness is notably lower than average.

2003
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
141499-0.0021926.67-0.029230.60213.11.2003 11:0713
141499-0.0021626.660.049230.60213.11.2003 11:0823
1414990.0012026.500.211230.73613.11.2003 14:19133
1414990.0013026.27-0.249230.74513.11.2003 14:32163
151466-0.0020926.88-0.080230.74513.11.2003 17:2233
1414990.0032424.300.662231.03413.11.2003 21:25203
1614330.0049819.840.256231.61214.11.2003 11:1253
1614330.0043719.64-0.793231.71614.11.2003 13:41203
1614330.0041419.581.037231.73414.11.2003 14:07303
161433-0.0057319.07-0.149233.71016.11.2003 13:1223
1315330.0013127.86-0.037236.47819.11.2003 7:0523
817330.0036017.32-0.141236.96719.11.2003 18:4493
61800-0.0061312.280.074236.98819.11.2003 19:1414
51833-0.0058213.590.074237.18219.11.2003 23:5014
2013330.0018611.350.005237.26220.11.2003 1:4411
2013330.0018411.37-0.013237.26320.11.2003 1:4611
2013330.0017211.540.020237.26920.11.2003 1:5421
41866-0.0031119.050.110237.56320.11.2003 8:54144
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2003 20:0620-303

In 2003 several comparatively small enhancements are expected. The first one will be an outburst from 1499 trail at 14-15 UT 13 November. Activity will rise to 30 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be considerably lower than average. The next peak, again from 1499 trail will happen at 21 UT 13 November. Activity will reach 20-25 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be considerably below average. Then at 14 UT 14 November 1433 trail will give the next enhancement. Activity will rise to 50 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness considerably below average. Then a traiditional maximum will follow. Considering close comet 55P, activity at 20 UT 17 November will reach 20-30 meteors on ZHR scale. After that a small increase from 1733 trail will occur. At 18:44 UT 19 November activity will rise to 15-20 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be considerably lower than average. The final enhancement will happen at 18:54 UT 20 November. It will be produced by 1866 trail, activity will reach 15-20 meteors on ZHR scale. Brightness will be considerably lower than average level.

2004
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
2013330.0017914.26-0.024237.25419.11.2004 7:4231
2013330.0016214.270.013237.29919.11.2004 8:4621
81733-0.0006217.93-0.001237.59519.11.2004 15:4923
81733-0.0023420.810.091237.79719.11.2004 20:37163
2611350.0005811.74-0.004239.30621.11.2004 8:2910
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2004 2:1615-200

In 2004 a weak background maximum is expected, but considering close comet 55P activity at 2 UT 17 November will rise to 15-20 meteors. Also, an enhancement from 1733 trail is expected. At 20:37 UT 19 November activity will rise to 25-30 meteors on ZHR scale with broghtness notably lower than average level.

2005
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
281001-0.0055819.37-0.174227.96510.11.2005 8:3020
181400-0.0001110.01-0.002236.14518.11.2005 11:2911
201333-0.0025313.77-0.012236.67819.11.2005 0:0911
251167-0.0011912.91-0.005238.63920.11.2005 22:4711
251167-0.0013812.950.050238.70021.11.2005 0:1461
251167-0.0015712.98-0.089238.76221.11.2005 1:4391
251167-0.0017713.010.021238.83221.11.2005 3:2221
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2005 8:25101

In 2005 a traditional maximum weaker than average level is expected. At 8 UT 17 November activity will rise to 10 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, at 0-2 UT 21 November an enhancement from 1167 trail is possible. Its intensity will reach 15-20 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be somewhat lower than average level.

2006
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
219320.0001388.250.466236.62019.11.2006 4:55314
191366-0.0009420.100.004237.69420.11.2006 6:2811
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2006 14:3410-151

In 2006 a weak traditional maximum is expected. At 15 UT 17 November activity will rise to 10-15 meteors on ZHR scale. Besides that at 4:55 UT 19 November an outburst from 1932 trail will follow. Its intensity will reach 35-40 meteors on ZHR scale, meteor brightness will be very low, in radiorange a much higher activity is likely.

2007
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
261135-0.000449.20-0.014235.67618.11.2007 12:3730
261135-0.000529.18-0.010235.67718.11.2007 12:3820
219320.0003497.970.430236.11618.11.2007 23:05224
191366-0.0049320.780.139236.41919.11.2007 6:1821
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2007 20:43151

In 2007 a traditional maximum weaker than average is expected. At 21 UT 17 November activity will rise to 15 meteors on ZHR scale. Besides that at 23:05 UT 18 November an outburst from 1932 trail will follow. Its intensity will reach about 30 meteors on ZHR scale, meteor brightness will be very low, in radiorange a much higher activity is likely.

2008
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
161466-0.004387.80-0.080234.76616.11.2008 21:0612
161466-0.001068.57-0.395234.90317.11.2008 0:221152
1614660.003079.17-0.019235.09117.11.2008 4:5012
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2008 2:5315-202

In 2008 a traditional maximum somewhat higher than average level is expected, and it will almost coincide with considerable outburst from 1466 trail. At 0:22 UT 17 November activity should rise to 130 meteors on ZHR scale. Meteor brightness will be somewhat higher than average.

2009
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
717670.0024743.04-0.731234.16016.11.2009 12:5024
717670.0030743.381.356234.18316.11.2009 13:2334
131567-0.0024413.04-0.012234.77617.11.2009 3:3012
131567-0.0028910.000.074234.89517.11.2009 6:2032
161466-0.000829.820.001235.44017.11.2009 19:1812
1714330.0019411.360.010235.44117.11.2009 19:2012
161466-0.000059.66-0.002235.44817.11.2009 19:3122
161466-0.000669.84-0.007235.44817.11.2009 19:3142
1714330.0020311.12-0.035235.45717.11.2009 19:4242
1614660.000399.99-0.004235.48617.11.2009 20:2532
1614660.000549.980.001235.48817.11.2009 20:2612
161466-0.0007610.110.081235.50617.11.2009 20:53392
141533-0.0003913.01-0.010235.52217.11.2009 21:16102
1415330.0000112.830.002235.53717.11.2009 21:3822
161466-0.0005810.27-0.030235.53817.11.2009 21:39182
1415330.0004410.68-0.072235.55017.11.2009 21:55652
141533-0.0000610.43-0.001235.58617.11.2009 22:4612
151499-0.0002511.320.001235.62617.11.2009 23:4412
2711020.000088.25-0.002235.69918.11.2009 1:2810
2711020.000128.240.013235.70018.11.2009 1:3030
241201-0.0001914.82-0.042236.44518.11.2009 19:1481
251167-0.0003210.14-0.002236.47518.11.2009 19:5611
201333-0.0016317.66-0.004236.63518.11.2009 23:4411
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2009 9:0225-304

In 2009 a very strong traditional maximum is expected. At 9 UT 17 November activity should rise to 25-30 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, at 21-22 UT 17 November a considerable outburst from 1466 and 1533 trails is likely. Activity will reach 130-140 meteors on ZHR scale, a number of submaximas is likely. Meteor brightness will be about average level. Another small enhancement can be produced by 1201 trail. At 19 UT 18 November activity will rise to 10-15 meteors on ZHR scale, meteor brightness will be a little lower than average level.

2010
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
231234-0.0006512.790.003236.49319.11.2010 2:3111
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2010 15:11202

In 2010 a quite strong traditional maximum is expected. At 15 UT 17 November activity will rise to about 20 meteors on ZHR scale. No other outbursts are found.