Leonids 2011-2020

2011
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
61800-0.0040746.94-0.498233.88016.11.2011 18:2914
61800-0.0034346.291.253233.90016.11.2011 18:5724
1315670.0016914.140.002236.04918.11.2011 22:0612
1315670.0008313.41-0.009236.10618.11.2011 23:2862
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2011 21:205-100

In 2011 a weak background maximum is expected. At 21 UT 17 November activity will rise to 5-10 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, at 23 UT 18 November 1567 trail should give a small enhancement. Activity will reach about 10 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be a little below average level.

2012
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
1315670.0016413.27-0.003236.96019.11.2012 1:5612
181400-0.0003715.84-0.029238.12220.11.2012 5:34101
181400-0.0015815.97-0.003238.26220.11.2012 8:5311
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2012 3:295-100

In 2012 a weak background maximum is expected. At 3 UT 17 November activity will rise to 5-10 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, at 6 UT 20 November 1400 trail can give a small increase. Activity will rise to 10-15 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be somewhat lower than average level.

2013
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
2512010.00135-9.320.011235.91818.11.2013 7:1811
1315670.0006513.170.001237.89620.11.2013 6:1912
1315670.0007013.23-0.001237.89820.11.2013 6:2412
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2013 9:3915-202

In 2013 a quite strong traditional maximum is expected. At 10 UT 17 November activity will rise to 15-20 meteors on ZHR scale. No other outbursts are found.

2014
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
51833-0.0021460.940.199234.80117.11.2014 10:5314
2512010.00285-8.940.033236.80419.11.2014 10:3211
131567-0.0003614.220.001238.77921.11.2014 9:2912
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2014 15:4810-151

In 2014 a moderate traditional maximum is expected. At 16 UT 17 November activity will rise to 10-15 meteors on ZHR scale. No other outbursts are found.

2015
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
291035-0.0035013.180.023241.44424.11.2015 6:5710
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2015 21:57202

In 2015 a strong traditional maximum is expected. At 21 UT 17 November activity will rise to 20 meteors on ZHR scale. No other outbursts are found.

2016
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
161499-0.00070-15.240.005237.92620.11.2016 1:3022
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2016 4:06101

In 2016 a quite weak traditional maximum is expected. At 4 UT 17 November activity will rise to 10 meteors on ZHR scale. No other outbursts are found.

2017
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
221300-0.00224-9.080.141234.26416.11.2017 16:3280
221300-0.00214-8.80-0.040234.27016.11.2017 16:4220
221300-0.00200-8.730.054234.30016.11.2017 17:2340
1614990.00309-15.140.009237.63920.11.2017 0:5210
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2017 10:15101

In 2017 a quite weak traditional maximum is expected. At 10 UT 17 November activity will rise to 10 meteors on ZHR scale. No other significant outbursts are found.

2018
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
2013660.00415-10.12-0.128236.41219.11.2018 1:4920
2013660.00271-12.510.011236.71119.11.2018 8:5610
2013660.00268-12.51-0.014236.75719.11.2018 10:0310
2811020.00004-6.00-0.006236.81819.11.2018 11:3420
281102-0.00031-6.020.003236.83319.11.2018 11:4510
2811020.00082-5.980.009237.04919.11.2018 16:5910
2113330.00100-6.27-0.005237.28119.11.2018 22:3010
1714660.00018-9.48-0.016237.74120.11.2018 9:26150
1714660.00108-9.55-0.002237.78420.11.2018 10:2710
171466-0.00074-9.590.002237.81220.11.2018 11:0610
171466-0.00120-9.60-0.004237.84120.11.2018 11:4810
171466-0.00053-9.640.002237.86520.11.2018 12:2210
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2018 16:25253

In 2018 a very strong traditional maximum is expected. At 16 UT 17 November activity will rise to 25 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, at 9 UT 20 November average meteor brightness can increase due to 1466 trail.

2019
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
191400-0.00232-15.611.038233.15516.11.2019 2:27970
191400-0.00317-16.950.041233.21616.11.2019 3:5320
191400-0.00241-16.12-0.212233.24316.11.2019 4:32190
191400-0.00242-16.140.121233.24616.11.2019 4:36110
191400-0.00372-17.050.037233.39716.11.2019 8:1210
191400-0.00434-18.770.055233.78516.11.2019 17:2610
41866-0.0002892.800.345234.62117.11.2019 13:2124
71800-0.00298-26.250.486236.27219.11.2019 4:38251
71800-0.00303-25.81-0.220236.30119.11.2019 5:20111
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
235.00817.11.2019 22:3415-202

In 2019 an average traditional maximum is expected. At 23 UT 17 November activity will rise to 15-20 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, at 2 UT 16 November a small increase from 1400 trail is possible. Activity will reach 15-20 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be considerably above average. Activity from another, 1800 trail, can appear at 5 UT 19 November as an increase of bright meteors number.

2020
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
1814330.00467-15.230.168233.72715.11.2020 22:1340
1316000.00071-19.020.003234.98817.11.2020 4:1510
1316000.00066-19.08-0.010234.98917.11.2020 4:1660
51833-0.0020691.720.218235.62317.11.2020 19:2214
818000.00572-21.010.285236.96419.11.2020 3:1661
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.95117.11.2020 3:2110-151

In 2020 a traditional maximum somewhat lower than average level is expected. At 3 UT 17 November activity will rise to 10-15 meteors on ZHR scale. No other significant outbursts are found.