Leonids 2061-2070

2061
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
171499-0.00125-7.68-0.012236.01518.11.2061 16:5921
41932-0.00219-15.130.082236.05718.11.2061 17:58242
171499-0.00028-7.620.009236.07018.11.2061 18:1891
181466-0.00210-5.92-0.019236.19818.11.2061 21:1910
319650.00184-16.820.463236.39119.11.2061 1:562652
1515670.00033-5.18-0.001236.69019.11.2061 9:0311
191433-0.00014-4.860.001236.90319.11.2061 14:0610
219980.00049-23.700.418236.97719.11.2061 15:5151832
1416000.00021-4.44-0.001237.51220.11.2061 4:3221
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
236.29218.11.2061 23:0640-502

In 2061 a strong traditional maximum is expected, and considering closing comet 55P, at 23 UT 18 November activity will rise to 40-50 meteors on ZHR scale. A number outbursts from trails will also occur. At 1:56 UT 19 November 1965 trail can increase acitivity to 60 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be much higher than average level. Another strong outburst, from 1998 trail, should happen at 15:51 UT 19 November. Activity will rise to about 300 meteors on ZHR brightness will be much higher than average.

2062
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
51899-0.00513-7.620.199236.96219.11.2062 21:4023
1515670.00337-2.90-0.245237.09020.11.2062 0:4211
1515670.00347-2.920.271237.09020.11.2062 0:4211
41932-0.00439-8.640.200237.10220.11.2062 0:5943
141600-0.00014-4.090.001237.19520.11.2062 3:1221
91767-0.00622-7.460.587237.21120.11.2062 3:3532
91767-0.00625-7.17-0.315237.21220.11.2062 3:3612
31965-0.00470-10.400.197237.22520.11.2062 3:5542
3010690.000335.480.007237.51420.11.2062 10:4820
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
236.29219.11.2062 5:1540-502

In 2062 a quite strong traditional maximum is expected, and considering close comet 55P, at 6 UT 19 November activity will rise to about 30-40 meteors on ZHR scale. No other significant outbursts are expected.

2063
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
1016990.0026137.39-0.437233.93717.11.2063 3:4913
251234-0.001246.320.016236.87920.11.2063 1:5021
1714990.00005-4.65-0.002237.08420.11.2063 6:4331
1714990.00046-4.580.006237.09120.11.2063 6:5331
1714990.00039-4.370.002237.10120.11.2063 7:0711
1714990.00066-4.39-0.004237.10420.11.2063 7:1211
1714990.00053-4.21-0.002237.10720.11.2063 7:1511
2412680.001068.830.019237.63320.11.2063 19:4731
301069-0.001436.290.013238.21221.11.2063 9:3210
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
236.29219.11.2063 11:2430-401

In 2063 a moderate traditional maximum is expected, and considering close comet 55P, at 11 UT 19 November activity will rise to about 30-40 meteors on ZHR scale. No other significant outbursts are expected.

2064
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
2612010.000164.040.005237.03219.11.2064 11:3820
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
236.29218.11.2064 17:3320-300

In 2064 a weak traditional maximum is expected, and considering close comet 55P, at 18 UT 18 November activity (in optimistic expectations) will rise to about 20-30 meteors on ZHR scale. It is possible, that activity will not surpass 10-15 meteors on ZHR scale. No other outbursts are found.

2065
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
not found
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
236.29218.11.2065 23:4215-200

In 2065 a very weak traditional maximum is expected. Despite perihelion of comet 55P, at 0 UT 19 November in optimistic way activity will rise to about 15-20 meteors on ZHR scale. It is very possible, that activity will not surpass 5-10 meteors on ZHR scale. No other outbursts are found.

2066
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
not found
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
236.29219.11.2066 5:5215-200

In 2066 again a very weak traditional maximum is expected. Despite perihelion of comet 55P, at 6 UT 19 November in optimistic way activity will rise to about 15-20 meteors on ZHR scale. It is very possible, that activity will not surpass 5-10 meteors on ZHR scale. No other outbursts are found.

2067
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
not found
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
236.29219.11.2067 12:0125-351

In 2067 a quite weak traditional maximum is expected. Considering close comet 55P, at 12 UT 18 November activity will rise to about 25-35 meteors on ZHR scale. No other outbursts are found.

2068
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
41932-0.0068026.680.354235.23617.11.2068 17:3134
518990.0028126.670.028235.61518.11.2068 2:3224
91767-0.001476.740.004236.38418.11.2068 20:5013
91767-0.001466.74-0.003236.38618.11.2068 20:5213
71833-0.003959.840.156236.38718.11.2068 20:5544
61866-0.0036013.86-0.014236.52619.11.2068 0:1214
61866-0.0032914.070.150236.55119.11.2068 0:48124
1914330.000093.90-0.004236.61919.11.2068 2:2551
2014000.000084.06-0.001236.62519.11.2068 2:3411
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
236.29218.11.2068 18:1040-502

In 2068 a quite strong traditional maximum is expected, considering close comet 55P activity will rise to 40-50 meteors on ZHR scale at 18 UT 18 November. Also, at 0:48 UT 19 November 1866 trail will give an outburst to 50 meteors on ZHR scale. Brigntness will be a liitle lower than average level.

2069
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
419320.0005933.990.349235.48518.11.2069 5:35744
191433-0.000502.690.030236.61319.11.2069 8:2671
1914330.000212.94-0.064236.62719.11.2069 8:45541
1714990.000374.00-0.001236.65419.11.2069 9:2512
1814660.000043.31-0.001236.69419.11.2069 10:2111
1814660.000343.330.001236.69519.11.2069 10:2311
1814660.000423.33-0.001236.69519.11.2069 10:2411
917670.0038013.71-0.011236.96819.11.2069 16:5313
917670.0035912.110.083236.96919.11.2069 16:5543
818000.0022311.070.070237.02919.11.2069 18:2093
718330.0024312.300.086237.06419.11.2069 19:09124
618660.0039016.77-0.010237.11919.11.2069 20:2814
618660.0041017.030.140237.18219.11.2069 21:5974
131633-0.001464.05-0.013237.48420.11.2069 5:0912
131633-0.002284.140.049237.51620.11.2069 5:5512
1116990.000106.860.070237.70320.11.2069 10:212683
111699-0.000286.93-0.033237.73020.11.2069 11:00873
111699-0.000536.980.000237.76720.11.2069 11:5213
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
236.29219.11.2069 0:1930-402

In 2069 a moderate background maximum is expected, but considering close comet 55P, activity at 0 UT 19 November will rise to about 30-40 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, a number of outbursts from trails is expected. The first (earlier than traditional maximum) will be an outburst from 1932 trail. At 5:35 UT 18 November activity will rise to 100 meteors in ZHR scale, meteor brigntness will be significantly lower than average, in radiorange a much stronger activity is expected. Then, after traditional maximum an outburst from 1433 trail will follow. At 9 UT 19 November activitiy will rise to 70-80 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be considerably lower than average. After that a small enhancement from 1800 and 1833 trail will occur. Activity will rise to 30-40 meteors on ZHR scale, brigntness will be close to average level. Finally, the last outburst will be produced by 1699 trail. At 10:21 UT 20 November activity will reach 300-350 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be above average.

2070
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
31965-0.0040744.870.372235.42718.11.2070 10:2114
818000.0048512.470.061237.38220.11.2070 8:5213
718330.0053013.61-0.063237.52920.11.2070 12:2314
718330.0052413.670.084237.54720.11.2070 12:4724
131633-0.000624.29-0.001237.82720.11.2070 19:2812
121666-0.000934.93-0.011237.92320.11.2070 21:4433
121666-0.001545.010.034237.93020.11.2070 21:5523
2811350.001697.520.009238.90720.11.2070 21:0810
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
236.29219.11.2070 6:2820-302

In 2070 a moderate traditional maximum is expected. Considering close comet 55P, at 6 UT 19 November activity will rise to about 20-30 meteors on ZHR scale. No other significant outbursts are found.