2091
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
not found |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
236.800 | 20.11.2091 4:16 | 5-10 | 0 |
In 2091 a weak traditional maximum is expected. At 4 UT 20 November activity will rise to 5-10 meteors on ZHR scale. No other outbursts are found.
2092
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
4 | 1965 | -0.00337 | -22.90 | 0.389 | 235.884 | 18.11.2092 12:37 | 33 | 2 |
18 | 1499 | 0.00021 | -7.49 | 0.002 | 236.173 | 18.11.2092 19:30 | 2 | 0 |
3 | 1998 | -0.00065 | -26.28 | 0.344 | 236.748 | 19.11.2092 9:11 | 990 | 1 |
15 | 1600 | 0.00095 | -4.99 | -0.003 | 237.142 | 19.11.2092 18:33 | 1 | 1 |
15 | 1600 | 0.00040 | -5.01 | 0.002 | 237.163 | 19.11.2092 19:03 | 2 | 1 |
15 | 1600 | 0.00017 | -5.01 | -0.001 | 237.167 | 19.11.2092 19:09 | 2 | 1 |
15 | 1600 | 0.00052 | -4.49 | -0.001 | 237.610 | 20.11.2092 5:40 | 1 | 1 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
236.800 | 19.11.2092 10:25 | 15 | 2 |
In 2092 a moderate traditional maximum is expected. It will coincide with possible activity from 1998 trail. At 9:11 UT 19 November activity will rise to 50-60 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be much higher than average. Also, at 13 UT 18 November 1965 trail can give some number of bright meteors.
2093
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
rev. | - | м/с | - | ° | а.е. | UT | метеоров | - |
5 | 1932 | -0.00210 | -15.14 | 0.003 | 236.116 | 19.11.2093 0:18 | 1 | 2 |
17 | 1533 | 0.00335 | -6.81 | -0.057 | 236.139 | 19.11.2093 0:51 | 1 | 1 |
18 | 1499 | 0.00232 | -7.09 | -0.032 | 236.365 | 19.11.2093 6:13 | 1 | 0 |
19 | 1466 | 0.00139 | -5.63 | -0.015 | 236.613 | 19.11.2093 12:07 | 1 | 0 |
20 | 1433 | 0.00005 | -5.10 | -0.001 | 236.618 | 19.11.2093 12:15 | 1 | 0 |
4 | 1965 | 0.00216 | -14.96 | 0.308 | 236.689 | 19.11.2093 13:55 | 94 | 2 |
20 | 1433 | 0.00091 | -5.00 | -0.010 | 236.792 | 19.11.2093 16:23 | 2 | 0 |
16 | 1567 | 0.00178 | -4.96 | -0.016 | 236.804 | 19.11.2093 16:39 | 1 | 1 |
19 | 1466 | 0.00168 | -5.45 | -0.017 | 236.805 | 19.11.2093 16:41 | 1 | 0 |
16 | 1567 | -0.00055 | -5.22 | -0.003 | 236.867 | 19.11.2093 18:10 | 1 | 1 |
21 | 1400 | 0.00030 | -4.85 | -0.006 | 236.914 | 19.11.2093 19:17 | 4 | 0 |
22 | 1366 | -0.00142 | -5.58 | -0.009 | 236.929 | 19.11.2093 19:38 | 1 | 0 |
21 | 1400 | 0.00037 | -4.84 | 0.001 | 236.949 | 19.11.2093 20:07 | 1 | 0 |
20 | 1433 | 0.00087 | -4.88 | -0.003 | 236.975 | 19.11.2093 20:44 | 1 | 0 |
16 | 1567 | -0.00164 | -5.38 | -0.010 | 236.978 | 19.11.2093 20:48 | 1 | 1 |
16 | 1567 | -0.00214 | -5.57 | 0.037 | 237.083 | 19.11.2093 23:18 | 1 | 1 |
21 | 1400 | 0.00012 | -4.74 | -0.001 | 237.087 | 19.11.2093 23:23 | 1 | 0 |
3 | 1998 | -0.00174 | -20.48 | 0.214 | 237.257 | 20.11.2093 3:27 | 134 | 2 |
15 | 1600 | 0.00045 | -4.40 | -0.009 | 237.737 | 20.11.2093 14:52 | 7 | 1 |
15 | 1600 | 0.00013 | -4.33 | 0.024 | 237.751 | 20.11.2093 15:11 | 48 | 1 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
236.800 | 19.11.2093 16:34 | 20-25 | 3 |
In 2093 a number of outbursts is expected. The first one will be a peak from 1965 trail which will partially coincide with a strong background maximum. Activity will rise to 25-35 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be much higher than average. After that at 3:27 UT 20 November 1998 trail will give an enhancemnent to 15-20 meteors, brightness will be much higher than average. Finally, another small increase is possible at 15 UT 20 November due to 1600 trail. Activity will rise to 20-25 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be much higher than average.
2094
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
18 | 1499 | 0.00035 | -7.69 | -0.010 | 236.126 | 19.11.2094 6:42 | 7 | 0 |
18 | 1499 | 0.00172 | -7.62 | 0.006 | 236.206 | 19.11.2094 8:35 | 1 | 0 |
19 | 1466 | -0.00042 | -5.95 | -0.019 | 236.309 | 19.11.2094 11:02 | 11 | 0 |
19 | 1466 | -0.00008 | -6.08 | 0.003 | 236.313 | 19.11.2094 11:08 | 3 | 0 |
8 | 1833 | -0.00687 | -11.48 | 0.437 | 236.696 | 19.11.2094 20:14 | 3 | 1 |
8 | 1833 | -0.00656 | -11.93 | -0.085 | 236.720 | 19.11.2094 20:49 | 1 | 1 |
6 | 1899 | -0.00009 | -8.89 | 0.231 | 236.887 | 20.11.2094 0:47 | 4643 | 3 |
5 | 1932 | 0.00075 | -10.03 | 0.012 | 237.130 | 20.11.2094 6:34 | 25 | 2 |
5 | 1932 | 0.00075 | -9.91 | -0.060 | 237.133 | 20.11.2094 6:38 | 127 | 3 |
5 | 1932 | 0.00072 | -9.24 | 0.201 | 237.153 | 20.11.2094 7:07 | 438 | 3 |
3 | 1998 | -0.00468 | -16.71 | -0.334 | 237.255 | 20.11.2094 9:31 | 16 | 2 |
4 | 1965 | -0.00002 | -10.66 | 0.145 | 237.347 | 20.11.2094 11:43 | 9331 | 2 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
236.800 | 19.11.2094 22:43 | 30-40 | 2 |
In 2094, as in the previous year, a number of outburst is expected, but they will be considerably stronger. First of all, some number of bright meteor can come from 1466 trail at 11 UT 19 November. After that a strong outburst from 1899 trail will follow, partially coinciding with a strong traditional maximum. At 0:47 Ut 20 November activity will rise to about 800-900 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be much higher than average. The next, less intensive outburst will be produced by 1932 trail at 7:07 UT 20 November. Activity will reach 100-150 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be much higher than average. Then a potentially stormy outburst from 1965 trail will follow. At 11:43 UT 20 November activity will rise to 1300-1400 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be much higher than average. It is very likely, that 2094 will be give the first stormy Leonid return after 2002.
2095
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
3 | 1998 | -0.00638 | -12.83 | 0.177 | 237.304 | 20.11.2095 16:52 | 3 | 2 |
12 | 1699 | 0.00108 | -6.25 | 0.004 | 237.388 | 20.11.2095 18:51 | 1 | 2 |
12 | 1699 | 0.00111 | -6.22 | -0.012 | 237.397 | 20.11.2095 19:05 | 3 | 2 |
6 | 1899 | -0.00356 | -6.16 | 0.094 | 237.418 | 20.11.2095 19:35 | 1 | 3 |
3 | 1965 | -0.00375 | -8.18 | 0.111 | 237.438 | 20.11.2095 20:04 | 3 | 3 |
5 | 1932 | -0.00330 | -6.77 | 0.090 | 237.444 | 20.11.2095 20:11 | 2 | 3 |
12 | 1699 | 0.00002 | -5.26 | 0.001 | 237.502 | 20.11.2095 21:34 | 4 | 2 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
236.800 | 20.11.2095 4:53 | 40-50 | 2 |
In 2095 a quite strong traditional maximum is expected, and considering closing comet 55P, at 5 UT 20 November activity will rise to 40-50 meteors on ZHR scale. No other significant outbursts are found.
2096
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
1 | 2065 | -0.00646 | -15.08 | 0.220 | 237.129 | 19.11.2096 18:52 | 1 | 3 |
4 | 1965 | -0.00651 | -6.17 | 0.186 | 237.236 | 19.11.2096 21:24 | 1 | 3 |
11 | 1733 | 0.00006 | -5.81 | 0.000 | 237.351 | 20.11.2096 0:08 | 1 | 2 |
30 | 1102 | 0.00053 | 5.46 | 0.012 | 237.517 | 20.11.2096 4:04 | 2 | 0 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
236.800 | 19.11.2096 11:02 | 40-50 | 2 |
In 2096 a quite strong traditional maximum is expected, and considering closing comet 55P, at 11 UT 20 November activity will rise to 40-50 meteors on ZHR scale. No other significant outbursts are found.
2097
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
1 | 2065 | -0.00656 | -11.47 | 0.986 | 236.802 | 19.11.2097 17:14 | 15 | 2 |
19 | 1466 | -0.00064 | -4.78 | 0.008 | 238.370 | 20.11.2097 6:46 | 2 | 0 |
16 | 1567 | 0.00020 | -2.69 | 0.002 | 237.964 | 20.11.2097 20:52 | 2 | 1 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
236.800 | 19.11.2097 17:11 | 30-40 | 1 |
In 2097 a quite strong traditional maximum is expected, and considering closing comet 55P, at 17 UT 20 November activity will rise to 30-40 meteors on ZHR scale. No other significant outbursts are found.
2098
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
1 | 2065 | -0.00670 | 9.20 | 0.938 | 236.801 | 19.11.2098 23:22 | 9 | 4 |
18 | 1499 | -0.00044 | -3.86 | 0.145 | 237.060 | 20.11.2098 5:31 | 72 | 0 |
2 | 2031 | -0.00623 | 5.08 | 0.510 | 237.091 | 20.11.2098 6:16 | 2 | 4 |
18 | 1499 | 0.00025 | -3.68 | 0.030 | 237.138 | 20.11.2098 7:23 | 27 | 0 |
18 | 1499 | 0.00049 | -3.64 | -0.006 | 237.160 | 20.11.2098 7:54 | 3 | 0 |
26 | 1234 | -0.00004 | 0.93 | -0.004 | 237.358 | 20.11.2098 12:36 | 2 | 0 |
18 | 1499 | -0.00132 | -2.34 | -0.115 | 237.372 | 20.11.2098 12:56 | 2 | 0 |
7 | 1866 | -0.00206 | 3.41 | -0.129 | 237.372 | 20.11.2098 12:56 | 2 | 4 |
26 | 1234 | 0.00010 | 0.92 | 0.012 | 237.396 | 20.11.2098 13:30 | 5 | 0 |
7 | 1866 | -0.00168 | 4.15 | -0.033 | 237.480 | 20.11.2098 15:31 | 2 | 4 |
10 | 1767 | -0.00191 | 3.09 | 0.124 | 237.865 | 21.11.2098 0:40 | 2 | 3 |
11 | 1733 | -0.00149 | 3.40 | 0.092 | 237.972 | 21.11.2098 3:13 | 3 | 3 |
23 | 1333 | 0.00256 | 8.82 | -0.023 | 238.298 | 21.11.2098 10:58 | 1 | 1 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
236.800 | 19.11.2098 23:20 | 100-150 | 4 |
In 2098 a very powerful traditional maximum is expected, and considering the perihelion of comet 55P, at 23 UT 19 November activity will rise to 100-150 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, at 6 UT 20 November 1499 trail will give an outburst to 80-100 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be much higher than average.
2099
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
13 | 1633 | -0.00450 | 23.36 | -0.431 | 232.598 | 16.11.2099 1:27 | 9 | 2 |
11 | 1699 | -0.00117 | 27.34 | -0.160 | 234.292 | 17.11.2099 17:48 | 15 | 3 |
19 | 1466 | -0.00032 | -2.81 | 0.001 | 236.853 | 20.11.2099 6:45 | 1 | 1 |
1 | 2065 | -0.00644 | 28.86 | 0.892 | 236.865 | 20.11.2099 7:02 | 7 | 4 |
30 | 1102 | -0.00044 | 2.65 | -0.013 | 236.886 | 20.11.2099 7:32 | 2 | 0 |
30 | 1102 | -0.00056 | 2.79 | -0.014 | 236.887 | 20.11.2099 7:34 | 2 | 0 |
30 | 1102 | -0.00046 | 2.78 | 0.026 | 236.888 | 20.11.2099 7:35 | 4 | 0 |
12 | 1699 | 0.00005 | 4.01 | 0.000 | 237.714 | 21.11.2099 3:14 | 1 | 3 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
236.800 | 20.11.2099 5:30 | 40-50 | 2 |
In 2099 a quite strong background maximum is expected, and considering close comet 55P, at 6 UT 20 November activity will rise to about 40-50 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, 1633 and 1699 trails should give two small enhancements at 1 UT 16 November and at 18 UT 17 November, respectively. Activity will reach 15-20 meteors on ZHR scale in the first case, and about 25-30 meteors on ZHR scale in the second one. Brightness will be both times considerably lower than average level.
2100
encounters with trails |
trail | year | rD-rE | Vej | fM(fMD) | sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Reliability |
rev. | - | m/s | - | ° | AU | UT | meteors | - |
1 | 2065 | -0.00525 | 47.59 | 0.850 | 237.206 | 20.11.2100 21:18 | 1 | 4 |
traditional maximum |
sol.long. | Max. time | ZHRex | Intensity |
° | UT | meteors | - |
236.800 | 20.11.2100 11:39 | 15-20 | 0 |
In 2100 a very weak traditional maximum is expected. Considering closing comet 55P, at 12 UT 20 November activity can reach to 15-20 meteors on ZHR scale, but it is very possible, that activity will not surpass 10 meteors on ZHR scale. No other outbursts are found.