The table given below lists encounters bertween the Earth and Lyrid trails (1472 and 108, the parent comet С\1861 G1 (Thatcher)). It should be noted that the "ZHRex" column contains "own" expected ZHRs of the outbursts. To obtain overall expected activity one should add background activity (15-20 meteors at traditional maximum).
cases of predicted activity |
year | day, time | ZHRex | comments |
- | UT | meteors | - |
1921 | 21.04.1921 11:24 | 85 | 1472 trail, Vej=17.36 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00043 AU |
1922 | 21.04.1922 19:31 | 303 | 1472 trail, Vej=17.62 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00004 AU |
1923 | 22.04.1923 3:29 | 30 | 1472 trail, Vej=17.87 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00072 AU |
1945 | 21.04.1945 14:38 | 5 | 1472 trail, Vej=23.27 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00148 AU |
1946 | 21.04.1946 22:31 | 12 | 1472 trail, Vej=23.51 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00103 AU |
1947 | 22.04.1947 6:11 | 4 | 1472 trail, Vej=23.74 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00167 AU |
1947 | 22.04.1947 0:22 | 3 | 1089 trail, Vej=-48.65 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00072 AU |
1956 | 21.04.1956 5:29 | 2 | 1089 trail, Vej=-47.29 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00054 AU |
| 21.04.1956 8:30 | 7 | 1089 trail, Vej=10.39 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00016 AU |
| 21.04.1956 11:18 | 7 | 1472 trail, Vej=25.81 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00127 AU |
1957 | 21.04.1957 12:50 | 3 | 1089 trail, Vej=-47.39 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00028 AU |
| 21.04.1957 16:06 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=10.36 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00093 AU |
| 21.04.1957 19:06 | 48 | 1472 trail, Vej=26.04 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00050 AU |
1958 | 21.04.1958 23:26 | 2 | 1089 trail, Vej=10.29 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00050 AU |
| 21.04.1958 23:48 | 2 | 1089 trail, Vej=10.34 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00062 AU |
| 22.04.1958 3:01 | 18 | 1472 trail, Vej=26.27 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00085 AU |
1959 | 22.04.1959 6:48 | 2 | 1089 trail, Vej=10.27 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00098 AU |
1980 | 21.04.1980 14:40 | 46 | 1472 trail, Vej=31.04 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00047 AU |
1981 | 21.04.1981 22:43 | 73 | 1472 trail, Vej=31.25 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00029 AU |
1982 | 22.04.1982 6:48 | 92 | 1472 trail, Vej=31.46 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00017 AU |
1983 | 22.04.1983 14:23 | 4 | 1472 trail, Vej=31.67 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00171 AU |
2003 | 22.04.2003 10:42 | 5 | 1472 trail, Vej=-48.59 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00025 AU |
2005 | 22.04.2005 1:30 | 4 | 1472 trail, Vej=36.06 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00162 AU |
2006 | 22.04.2006 9:18 | 2 | 1472 trail, Vej=36.26 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00196 AU |
2011 | 22.04.2011 15:19 | 2 | 1472 trail, Vej=-48.48 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00045 AU |
2015 | 22.04.2015 14:43 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=20.15 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00069 AU |
2016 | 21.04.2016 20:48 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=-33.43 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00060 AU |
| 21.04.2016 21:44 | 3 | 1472 trail, Vej=38.15 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00178 AU |
| 21.04.2016 22:10 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=20.14 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00050 AU |
2017 | 22.04.2017 5:36 | 3 | 1472 trail, Vej=38.34 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00179 AU |
| 22.04.2017 5:55 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=20.12 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00054 AU |
2018 | 22.04.2018 13:21 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=20.10 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00040 AU |
2028 | 21.04.2028 20:25 | 2 | 1089 trail, Vej=19.92 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00022 AU |
2029 | 22.04.2029 3:51 | 3 | 1089 trail, Vej=19.90 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00012 AU |
2030 | 22.04.2030 10:58 | 2 | 1089 trail, Vej=19.87 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00064 AU |
| 22.04.2030 14:25 | 2 | 1472 trail, Vej=-48.21 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00089 AU |
2039 | 22.04.2039 16:31 | 2 | 1472 trail, Vej=42.30 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00136 AU |
2040 | 22.04.2040 0:27 | 46 | 1472 trail, Vej=42.47 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00021 AU |
2041 | 22.04.2041 8:34 | 43 | 1472 trail, Vej=42.64 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00026 AU |
| 22.04.2041 9:01 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=23.18 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00028 AU |
2042 | 22.04.2042 16:20 | 5 | 1472 trail, Vej=42.82 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00146 AU |
2050 | 22.04.2050 11:07 | 2 | 1472 trail, Vej=-35.82 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00036 AU |
2057 | 22.04.2057 9:44 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-35.74 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00041 AU |
2058 | 22.04.2058 14:08 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-35.73 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00048 AU |
2059 | 22.04.2059 18:45 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-35.72 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00043 AU |
2063 | 22.04.2063 19:34 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=25.90 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00036 AU |
2064 | 22.04.2064 3:36 | 9 | 1472 trail, Vej=46.50 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00102 AU |
| 22.04.2064 5:03 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-37.37 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00057 AU |
2065 | 22.04.2065 11:31 | 9 | 1472 trail, Vej=46.66 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00100 AU |
| 22.04.2065 12:06 | 2 | 1472 trail, Vej=-30.07 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00043 AU |
| 22.04.2065 12:51 | 9 | 1472 trail, Vej=-37.44 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00020 AU |
2066 | 22.04.2066 20:16 | 2 | 1472 trail, Vej=-37.51 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00091 AU |
| 22.04.2066 19:37 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-30.05 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00058 AU |
2073 | 22.04.2073 9:56 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-38.03 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00137 AU |
2074 | 22.04.2074 16:06 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-38.13 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00063 AU |
| 22.04.2074 16:20 | 4 | 1472 trail, Vej=-38.10 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00050 AU |
2075 | 22.04.2075 18:49 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-39.64 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00160 AU |
| 23.04.2075 0:09 | 4 | 1472 trail, Vej=48.25 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00148 AU |
2076 | 22.04.2076 2:50 | 2 | 1472 trail, Vej=-39.52 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00064 AU |
| 22.04.2076 8:00 | 7 | 1472 trail, Vej=48.41 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00113 AU |
2077 | 22.04.2077 10:49 | 3 | 1472 trail, Vej=-39.41 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00088 AU |
| 22.04.2077 13:54 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-38.48 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00168 AU |
| 22.04.2077 15:45 | 2 | 1472 trail, Vej=48.56 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00193 AU |
2078 | 22.04.2078 20:13 | 4 | 1472 trail, Vej=-38.70 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00027 AU |
| 22.04.2078 20:34 | 7 | 1472 trail, Vej=-38.61 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00016 AU |
| 22.04.2078 20:51 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=25.72 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00010 AU |
2080 | 22.04.2080 10:22 | 2 | 1472 trail, Vej=-35.53 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00044 AU |
| 22.04.2080 11:32 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-29.92 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00044 AU |
2084 | 22.04.2084 6:38 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-29.90 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00027 AU |
2086 | 22.04.2086 13:34 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=25.53 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00095 AU |
2087 | 22.04.2087 20:31 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=25.51 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00057 AU |
2088 | 22.04.2088 12:12 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-31.76 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00056 AU |
2089 | 22.04.2089 9:57 | 9 | 1089 trail, Vej=25.32 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00051 AU |
| 22.04.2089 10:00 | 20 | 1089 trail, Vej=25.32 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00047 AU |
| 22.04.2089 10:46 | 2 | 1089 trail, Vej=25.41 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00023 AU |
| 22.04.2089 10:52 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=25.43 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00029 AU |
| 22.04.2089 10:59 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=25.44 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00038 AU |
| 22.04.2089 19:35 | 4 | 1472 trail, Vej=-31.82 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00060 AU |
2092 | 22.04.2092 11:47 | 2 | 1472 trail, Vej=-29.84 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00001 AU |
2095 | 23.04.2095 2:15 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-29.80 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00108 AU |
2096 | 22.04.2096 4:31 | 2 | 1472 trail, Vej=-24.59 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00019 AU |
| 22.04.2096 8:35 | 2 | 1472 trail, Vej=-32.25 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00094 AU |
2097 | 22.04.2097 8:50 | 2 | 1472 trail, Vej=-33.85 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00097 AU |
| 22.04.2097 14:30 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-32.33 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00144 AU |
2098 | 22.04.2098 15:00 | 1 | 1472 trail, Vej=-33.78 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00141 AU |
| 22.04.2098 19:27 | 4 | 1472 trail, Vej=51.75 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00139 AU |
2099 | 22.04.2099 23:17 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=27.86 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00073 AU |
| 23.04.2099 1:15 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=28.15 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00066 AU |
| 23.04.2099 3:14 | 28 | 1472 trail, Vej=51.90 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00003 AU |
| 23.04.2099 4:23 | 3 | 1472 trail, Vej=-29.69 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00124 AU |
2100 | 23.04.2100 7:29 | 2 | 1089 trail, Vej=27.88 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00026 AU |
| 23.04.2100 9:03 | 1 | 1089 trail, Vej=28.11 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00092 AU |
| 23.04.2100 11:21 | 23 | 1472 trail, Vej=52.05 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00031 AU |