Lyrids 1901-2100: activity prediction

The table given below lists encounters bertween the Earth and Lyrid trails (1472 and 108, the parent comet С\1861 G1 (Thatcher)). It should be noted that the "ZHRex" column contains "own" expected ZHRs of the outbursts. To obtain overall expected activity one should add background activity (15-20 meteors at traditional maximum).
cases of predicted activity
yearday, timeZHRexcomments
-UTmeteors-
192121.04.1921 11:24851472 trail, Vej=17.36 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00043 AU
192221.04.1922 19:313031472 trail, Vej=17.62 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00004 AU
192322.04.1923 3:29301472 trail, Vej=17.87 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00072 AU
194521.04.1945 14:3851472 trail, Vej=23.27 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00148 AU
194621.04.1946 22:31121472 trail, Vej=23.51 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00103 AU
194722.04.1947 6:1141472 trail, Vej=23.74 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00167 AU
194722.04.1947 0:2231089 trail, Vej=-48.65 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00072 AU
195621.04.1956 5:2921089 trail, Vej=-47.29 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00054 AU
21.04.1956 8:3071089 trail, Vej=10.39 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00016 AU
21.04.1956 11:1871472 trail, Vej=25.81 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00127 AU
195721.04.1957 12:5031089 trail, Vej=-47.39 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00028 AU
21.04.1957 16:0611089 trail, Vej=10.36 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00093 AU
21.04.1957 19:06481472 trail, Vej=26.04 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00050 AU
195821.04.1958 23:2621089 trail, Vej=10.29 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00050 AU
21.04.1958 23:4821089 trail, Vej=10.34 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00062 AU
22.04.1958 3:01181472 trail, Vej=26.27 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00085 AU
195922.04.1959 6:4821089 trail, Vej=10.27 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00098 AU
198021.04.1980 14:40461472 trail, Vej=31.04 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00047 AU
198121.04.1981 22:43731472 trail, Vej=31.25 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00029 AU
198222.04.1982 6:48921472 trail, Vej=31.46 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00017 AU
198322.04.1983 14:2341472 trail, Vej=31.67 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00171 AU
200322.04.2003 10:4251472 trail, Vej=-48.59 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00025 AU
200522.04.2005 1:3041472 trail, Vej=36.06 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00162 AU
200622.04.2006 9:1821472 trail, Vej=36.26 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00196 AU
201122.04.2011 15:1921472 trail, Vej=-48.48 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00045 AU
201522.04.2015 14:4311089 trail, Vej=20.15 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00069 AU
201621.04.2016 20:4811089 trail, Vej=-33.43 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00060 AU
21.04.2016 21:4431472 trail, Vej=38.15 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00178 AU
21.04.2016 22:1011089 trail, Vej=20.14 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00050 AU
201722.04.2017 5:3631472 trail, Vej=38.34 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00179 AU
22.04.2017 5:5511089 trail, Vej=20.12 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00054 AU
201822.04.2018 13:2111089 trail, Vej=20.10 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00040 AU
202821.04.2028 20:2521089 trail, Vej=19.92 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00022 AU
202922.04.2029 3:5131089 trail, Vej=19.90 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00012 AU
203022.04.2030 10:5821089 trail, Vej=19.87 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00064 AU
22.04.2030 14:2521472 trail, Vej=-48.21 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00089 AU
203922.04.2039 16:3121472 trail, Vej=42.30 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00136 AU
204022.04.2040 0:27461472 trail, Vej=42.47 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00021 AU
204122.04.2041 8:34431472 trail, Vej=42.64 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00026 AU
22.04.2041 9:0111089 trail, Vej=23.18 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00028 AU
204222.04.2042 16:2051472 trail, Vej=42.82 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00146 AU
205022.04.2050 11:0721472 trail, Vej=-35.82 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00036 AU
205722.04.2057 9:4411472 trail, Vej=-35.74 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00041 AU
205822.04.2058 14:0811472 trail, Vej=-35.73 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00048 AU
205922.04.2059 18:4511472 trail, Vej=-35.72 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00043 AU
206322.04.2063 19:3411089 trail, Vej=25.90 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00036 AU
206422.04.2064 3:3691472 trail, Vej=46.50 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00102 AU
22.04.2064 5:0311472 trail, Vej=-37.37 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00057 AU
206522.04.2065 11:3191472 trail, Vej=46.66 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00100 AU
22.04.2065 12:0621472 trail, Vej=-30.07 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00043 AU
22.04.2065 12:5191472 trail, Vej=-37.44 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00020 AU
206622.04.2066 20:1621472 trail, Vej=-37.51 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00091 AU
22.04.2066 19:3711472 trail, Vej=-30.05 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00058 AU
207322.04.2073 9:5611472 trail, Vej=-38.03 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00137 AU
207422.04.2074 16:0611472 trail, Vej=-38.13 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00063 AU
22.04.2074 16:2041472 trail, Vej=-38.10 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00050 AU
207522.04.2075 18:4911472 trail, Vej=-39.64 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00160 AU
23.04.2075 0:0941472 trail, Vej=48.25 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00148 AU
207622.04.2076 2:5021472 trail, Vej=-39.52 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00064 AU
22.04.2076 8:0071472 trail, Vej=48.41 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00113 AU
207722.04.2077 10:4931472 trail, Vej=-39.41 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00088 AU
22.04.2077 13:5411472 trail, Vej=-38.48 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00168 AU
22.04.2077 15:4521472 trail, Vej=48.56 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00193 AU
207822.04.2078 20:1341472 trail, Vej=-38.70 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00027 AU
22.04.2078 20:3471472 trail, Vej=-38.61 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00016 AU
22.04.2078 20:5111089 trail, Vej=25.72 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00010 AU
208022.04.2080 10:2221472 trail, Vej=-35.53 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00044 AU
22.04.2080 11:3211472 trail, Vej=-29.92 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00044 AU
208422.04.2084 6:3811472 trail, Vej=-29.90 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00027 AU
208622.04.2086 13:3411089 trail, Vej=25.53 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00095 AU
208722.04.2087 20:3111089 trail, Vej=25.51 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00057 AU
208822.04.2088 12:1211472 trail, Vej=-31.76 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00056 AU
208922.04.2089 9:5791089 trail, Vej=25.32 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00051 AU
22.04.2089 10:00201089 trail, Vej=25.32 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00047 AU
22.04.2089 10:4621089 trail, Vej=25.41 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00023 AU
22.04.2089 10:5211089 trail, Vej=25.43 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00029 AU
22.04.2089 10:5911089 trail, Vej=25.44 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00038 AU
22.04.2089 19:3541472 trail, Vej=-31.82 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00060 AU
209222.04.2092 11:4721472 trail, Vej=-29.84 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00001 AU
209523.04.2095 2:1511472 trail, Vej=-29.80 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00108 AU
209622.04.2096 4:3121472 trail, Vej=-24.59 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00019 AU
22.04.2096 8:3521472 trail, Vej=-32.25 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00094 AU
209722.04.2097 8:5021472 trail, Vej=-33.85 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00097 AU
22.04.2097 14:3011472 trail, Vej=-32.33 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00144 AU
209822.04.2098 15:0011472 trail, Vej=-33.78 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00141 AU
22.04.2098 19:2741472 trail, Vej=51.75 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00139 AU
209922.04.2099 23:1711089 trail, Vej=27.86 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00073 AU
23.04.2099 1:1511089 trail, Vej=28.15 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00066 AU
23.04.2099 3:14281472 trail, Vej=51.90 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00003 AU
23.04.2099 4:2331472 trail, Vej=-29.69 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00124 AU
210023.04.2100 7:2921089 trail, Vej=27.88 m/s, rD-rE=-0.00026 AU
23.04.2100 9:0311089 trail, Vej=28.11 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00092 AU
23.04.2100 11:21231472 trail, Vej=52.05 m/s, rD-rE=+0.00031 AU