pi-Puppids 1901-2100: activity predictions

cases of predicted activity
yearday, timeZHRexcomments
-UTmeteors-
193127.04 19:583-5very bright meteors
21.05 20:262-3faint meteors
194325.04 18:563-4faint meteors
195127.04 13:393-4faint meteors
195822.04 2:4320-30faint meteors
197723.04 11:382000-3000, up to 10000bright meteors
198022.04 18:571-2bright meteors
198223.04 03:033000-4000average meteor brightness
198723.04 10:533-5faint meteors
199223.04 5:0930-40bright meteors
200213.02 4:237-12faint meteors
14.02 12:173-5faint meteors
200822.04 22:123-5very faint meteors
203422.04 16-215-10very faint meteors
205412.07 19:5120-30very faint meteors
15.07 13:5310-15very faint meteors
205912.02 06:592-4very faint meteors
208420.04 22:36-23:413-4bright meteors
208921.04 07:485-10bright meteors
24.04 15:487-12very faint meteors
209421.04 11:25-12:344-7bright meteors
209921.04 17:28-18:245-8bright meteors


1931
27.04.1931 19:58 UT. Vertical encounter with 1808 trail. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 2-3 meteors with very high brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=109.7°, Dec=-48.3°, v=15.6 km/s.

21.05.1931 20:26 UT. Vertical encounter with 1754 trail. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 3-5 meteors with low brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=108.6°, Dec=-3.5°, v=11.4 km/s.

1943
25.04.1943 18:56 UT. Vertical encounter with 1833, 1848, 1853 trails. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 3-4 meteors with low average brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=107.2°, Dec=-45.0°, v=15.2 km/s.

1951
27.04.1951 13:39 UT. Vertical encounter with 1848 trails. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 3-4 meteors with low average brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=105.6°, Dec=-42.5°, v=14.8 km/s.

1958
22.04.1958 2:43 UT. Vertical encounter with 1838 trail. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 20-30 meteors with low average brigntness. Also, during April 22-23 some activity from 1838 and 1853 trails are possible. They should give secondary peak up to 10 meteors on ZHR scale at around 22.04.1958 15:35 UT as well as weak activity about 2-3 meteors on ZHR scale during April 23. Theoretical radiant: RA=105.6°, Dec=-37.5°, v=13.8 km/s.

1977
23.04.1977 11:38 UT. Vertical encounter with 1858-1932 trails. During the period 7-17h we expect a strong outburst with maximum intensity of 2000-3000 meteors on ZHR scale (it is the conservative variant, in optimistic case an outburst up to 10000 meteors on ZHR scale is possible), meteor brigntness will be high. Theoretical radiant: RA=109.4°, Dec=-45.3°, v=15.2 km/s.

1980
22.04.1980 18:57 UT. Vertical encounter with 1779 trail. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 1-2 meteors with high average brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=112.2°, Dec=-38.3°, v=13.5 km/s.

1982
23.04.1982 3:03 UT. Vertical encounter with 1873-1937 trails. During the period 23-15h on 22-23 April we expect a strong outburst with maximum intensity of 3000-4000 meteors on ZHR scale, meteor brigntness will be average. Also, around 23.04.1982 13:46 UT a secondary peak with ZHRmax of 1000 meteors with high average brightness is expected. Theoretical radiant: RA=109.0°, Dec=-46.9°, v=15.6 km/s.

1987
23.04.1987 10:52 UT. Vertical encounter with 1892 trail. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 3-5 meteors with low average brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=113.3°, Dec=-51.1°, v=16.5 km/s.

1992
23.04.1992 5:09 UT. Vertical encounter with 1961 trail. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 30-40 meteors with high average brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=109.8°, Dec=-45.3°, v=15.1 km/s.

2002
13.02.2002 4:23 UT. Vertical encounter with 1813 trail. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 7-12 meteors with low average brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=137.2°, Dec=+11.3°, v=20.2 km/s.

14.02.2002 12:17 UT. Vertical encounter with 1808 trail. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 3-4 meteors with low average brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=137.3°, Dec=+10.9°, v=19.8 km/s.

2008
22.04.2008 22:12 UT. Vertical encounter with 1942 and 1947 trails. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 3-5 meteors with very low average brigntness. In radiorange higher activity is likely. Theoretical radiant: RA=112.9°, Dec=-42.7°, v=14.4 km/s.

2034
22.04.2034 16-21 UT. Vertical encounter with 1967 and 1972 trails. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 5-10 meteors with very low average brigntness. Also some little activity could be produced by 1957 trail. In radiorange higher activity is likely. Theoretical radiant: RA=112.0°, Dec=-46.0°, v=15.2 km/s.

2054
12.07.2054 19:51 UT. Vertical encounter with 1957 trail. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 20-30 meteors with very low average brigntness. In radiorange higher activity is likely. Theoretical radiant: RA=120.3°, Dec=+24.0°, v=20.4 km/s. br>
15.07.2054 13:53 UT. Vertical encounter with 1961 trail. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 10-15 meteors with very low average brigntness. In radiorange higher activity is likely. Theoretical radiant: RA=122.1°, Dec=+23.4°, v=20.8 km/s.

2059
12.02.2059 6:59 UT. Vertical encounter with 1942 trail. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 2-4 meteors with very low average brigntness. In radiorange higher activity is likely. Theoretical radiant: RA=134.1°, Dec=+13.2°, v=19.6 km/s.

2084
20.04.2084 22:36-23:41 UT. Vertical encounter with 1912 and 1917 trails. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 3-4 meteors with high average brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=114.7°, Dec=-49.1°, v=16.0 km/s.

2089
21.04.2089 7:48 UT. Vertical encounter with 1917 trail. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 5-10 meteors with high average brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=114.5°, Dec=-49.1°, v=16.0 km/s.

24.04.2089 15:48 UT. Vertical encounter with 1957 trail. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 7-12 meteors with very low average brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=203.5°, Dec=+77.4°, v=16.0 km/s.

2094
21.04.2094 11:25-12:34 UT. Vertical encounter with 1912 and 1917 trails. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 4-7 meteors with high average brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=114.7°, Dec=-49.2°, v=16.0 km/s.

2099
21.04.2099 17:28-18:24 UT. Vertical encounter with 1912 и 1917 trails. Around the given time we expect activity with ZHRmax up to 5-8 meteors with high average brigntness. Theoretical radiant: RA=114.6°, Dec=-48.7°, v=15.8 km/s.