Lyrids 2013: prediction of activity

Lyrids 2013: prediction of activity
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Fig. 1. Space-temporal projection of p2000g1р-ids trails parts onto their minimal distance passages (correspondence between colours of the particles and their ejection velocities can be seen here).

Fig. 2. Detailed space-temporal projection of p2000g1р-ids trails parts onto their minimal distance passages in 2013 (correspondence between colours of the particles and their ejection velocities can be seen here).

No encounters with 1 and 2 rev. Lyrid trails are found. Activity is not expected.

References

1. "Comet's dust 2.0" program by S. Shanov and S. Dubrovsky. [Used for orbital computations.]
2. Lyytinen E, van Flandern T. "Predicting the strength of Leonid outbursts", 2000, Icarus, P. 158-160.
3. Jenniskens P. Meteor showers and their parent comets, 2006, 780 p.